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Kara-France vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight
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Plessis vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight
KK
SE
Kara-France vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight
DH
MG
Hooker vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight
JR
TT
Rozenstruik vs TuivasaMain Card · Heavyweight
CP
LJ
Prates vs JingliangMain Card · Welterweight
VW
JT
Walker vs TafaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
RR
JC
Ramos vs CulibaoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CO
LS
O'Neill vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
JJ
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Jenkins vs BurnsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Kara-France v Erceg
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Kara-France 25-11
VS
13-4 Erceg
5'4"
height
5'8"
125 lb
weight
125 lb
69"
reach
68"
33
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.6
strikes landed / min
4.4
39%
striking accuracy
48%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.2
65%
striking defence
53%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
33%
takedown accuracy
26%
88%
takedown defence
60%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Steve Erceg
“I obviously picked Steve Erceg right”
Leftlane MMA picks Steve Erceg
“I obviously picked Steve Erceg right”
BM
Brando MMA picks Steve Erceg
“my goat Steve Erceg for the only combination Kai Kara-France has in his bag”
Brando MMA picks Steve Erceg
“my goat Steve Erceg for the only combination Kai Kara-France has in his bag”
RA
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Kai Kara-France
“underdog at 7,400 Kai Kara-France has Steve Erceg would have to have a like enormous”
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Kai Kara-France
“underdog at 7,400 Kai Kara-France has Steve Erceg would have to have a like enormous”
AM
Artem MMA picks Steve Erceg
“I did pick Steve Erceg to win this matchup I thought he was going to Grapple”
Artem MMA picks Steve Erceg
“I did pick Steve Erceg to win this matchup I thought he was going to Grapple”
IL
IBG Live picks Steve Erceg
“next up Steve Erceg wins”
IBG Live picks Steve Erceg
“next up Steve Erceg wins”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“I'm just gonna take the speed of Kai Kara-France here and kind of in the same ve not in the same way of course but I was talking earlier about you know when when these guys get up very high very early sometimes it's good to look for opportunities uh with dogs against them to see them fall... So I'm going with Kai Kara-France car France”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“I'm just gonna take the speed of Kai Kara-France here and kind of in the same ve not in the same way of course but I was talking earlier about you know when when these guys get up very high very early sometimes it's good to look for opportunities uh with dogs against them to see them fall... So I'm going with Kai Kara-France car France”
FI
FightOwl picks Kai Kara-France
“obviously Kai Kara-France underestimating Kai Kara-France because he have kind of let Kai Kara-France slip me at the minute Kai Kara-France of like a 11 to8 Steve Erceg is 4 to7 so yeah yeah a Steve Erceg or whatever his name is has run now so if he beats Steve Erceg he'll”
FightOwl picks Kai Kara-France
“obviously Kai Kara-France underestimating Kai Kara-France because he have kind of let Kai Kara-France slip me at the minute Kai Kara-France of like a 11 to8 Steve Erceg is 4 to7 so yeah yeah a Steve Erceg or whatever his name is has run now so if he beats Steve Erceg he'll”
UP
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Steve Erceg
“I think Steve Erceg gets that job done yeah”
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Steve Erceg
“I think Steve Erceg gets that job done yeah”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Steve Erceg VALUE
“I think that Steve Erceg is gonna touch him up”
MMA EXPERTS picks Steve Erceg VALUE
“I think that Steve Erceg is gonna touch him up”
RA
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Kai Kara-France
“why shouldn't I play Kai Kara-France”
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Kai Kara-France
“why shouldn't I play Kai Kara-France”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Kara-France25-11
L
Pantoja
Jun '25
W
Erceg
Aug '24
L
Albazi
Jun '23
L
Moreno
Jul '22
W
Askarov
Mar '22
Erceg13-4
W
Elliott
May '26
W
Osbourne
Aug '25
L
Moreno
Mar '25
L
Kara-France
Aug '24
L
Pantoja
May '24