UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · breakdown
UFC Vegas 119 Best Bets | Lock of the Night, Live Dogs, Parlays, & Props
MN
MMA Lock of the Night63% hit
2 weeks ago
11W–6L · +4.1u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
LS
Luana Santos
v Karol Rosa
MONEYLINE
WON
Luana Santos
v Karol Rosa
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going to put her in the live dog section”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.08
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
LS
Luana Santos
v Karol Rosa
PROP · DECISION
WON
Luana Santos
v Karol Rosa
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I believe Luana Santos will do just that here as she's able to acrew at least control time for two out of the three rounds and win this fight by decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.08
Santos’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.05
MR
Mitch Raposo
v Allan Nascimento
PROP · DECISION
WON
Mitch Raposo
v Allan Nascimento
PROP · DECISION
WON
“look for Mitch Raposo to utilize a lot of defensive grappling, good footwork, good calf kicks, and then eventually go out there and win this fight by decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.60
→
close$2.75
Raposo’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.65
MR
Mitch Raposo
v Allan Nascimento
MONEYLINE
WON
Mitch Raposo
v Allan Nascimento
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm happy to take him as a live dog at plus 165”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.60
→
close$2.75
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
HA
Hyder Amil
v Christian Rodriguez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Hyder Amil
v Christian Rodriguez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I have to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 as a live dog here at plus 170”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.74
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
KH
Kyoji Horiguchi
v Manel Kape
MONEYLINE
LOST
Kyoji Horiguchi
v Manel Kape
MONEYLINE
LOST
“it's hard for me to overlook him at plus 140”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.40
→
close$2.40
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
KH
Kyoji Horiguchi
v Manel Kape
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Kyoji Horiguchi
v Manel Kape
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I think he gets the job done by submission and comes through for us as a live dog”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.40
→
close$2.40
Horiguchi’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.40
NS
Navajo Stirling
v Ion Cuțelaba
MONEYLINE
WON
Navajo Stirling
v Ion Cuțelaba
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think Navajo Stirling is too good to get caught with anything crazy that NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 throws”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.34
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
SC
Shane Collins
v Otari Tanzilovi
MONEYLINE
WON
Shane Collins
v Otari Tanzilovi
MONEYLINE
WON
“allowing Collins to win this fight on the scorecards which you can get at plus 185”
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.51
→
close$1.57
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
LC
Levan Chokheli
v Leon Shahbazyan
MONEYLINE
WON
Levan Chokheli
v Leon Shahbazyan
MONEYLINE
WON
“I believe Choke Kelly will get the knockout here which you can obviously get at minus 165”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.31
→
close$1.31
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MJ
Michael Aswell Jr.
v Gastón Bolaños
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I lean more so the decision prop, which you can get at plus 115”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.25
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BM
Beatriz Mesquita
v Melissa Mullins
MONEYLINE
WON
“I expect that to lead to a Beatriz Mesquita submission which is still plus 105”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.18
→
close$1.20
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
MM
Murtazali Magomedov
v Melsik Baghdasaryan
MONEYLINE
WON
Murtazali Magomedov
v Melsik Baghdasaryan
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm actually leaning with Murtazali Magomedov by submission here, which you can get at plus 260”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.33
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
MM
Murtazali Magomedov
v Melsik Baghdasaryan
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
Murtazali Magomedov
v Melsik Baghdasaryan
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
“I'm actually leaning with Murtazali Magomedov by submission here, which you can get at plus 260”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.33
Magomedov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.60
AL
André Lima
v Kevin Borjas
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
André Lima
v Kevin Borjas
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I think he eventually gets a submission which you can get at plus 440”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.17
Lima’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $5.40
AL
André Lima
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
LOST
André Lima
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think he eventually gets a submission which you can get at plus 440”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.17
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
VO
Vinicius Oliveira
v Andre Fili
MONEYLINE
WON
Vinicius Oliveira
v Andre Fili
MONEYLINE
WON
“I like me some Vinicius Oliveira here inside the distance which you can get at plus 115. Uh and I think it's actually going to be the knockout that he gets which you can get at plus 180”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.37
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish