UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · breakdown

Best bets - Every Fight on the Card and juicy parleys - UFC Moreno vs Kavanagh

4 months ago 2W–9L 11/12 graded

Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event

Javier Reyes v Douglas Silva de Andrade PROP · DECISION LOST

“I'm thinking that Javier Reyes is going to be able to get this done. Edge out on the scorecards at two two and a half to one.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV −1%

◆ entry$1.45 → close$1.47

Reyes’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Cristian Quiñonez v Kris Moutinho PROP · KO/TKO LOST

“I'm going for the KO outright. Uh, evens I think is good money.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.17 → close$1.17

Quiñonez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Macy Chiasson v Ailín Pérez PROP · DECISION LOST

“I wouldn't be surprised if you're Macy Chiasson winning this one. Um, so I'm going to go either way decision one or three to one.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$2.60 → close$2.60

Chiasson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Ryan Gandra v José Daniel Medina PROP · KO/TKO VALUE

“You got the Ryan Gandra KO outright at a little bit better than evens”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.17 → now$1.17

Gandra’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Santiago Luna v Angel Pacheco PROP · SUBMISSION LOST

“I think Santiago Luna is going to sub him after that. So I wouldn't be surprised about Santiago Luna first or second round sub.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.21 → close$1.21

Luna’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Imanol Rodríguez v Kevin Borjas PROP · DECISION LOST

“I think Imanol Rodríguez is probably get his done. I like the Imanol Rodríguez decision line 52.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.24 → close$1.24

Rodríguez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Francis Marshall v Erik Silva PROP · SUBMISSION WON —

“Francis Marshall to get the sub second and third. I do like the finish second and third is 3 to2... Francis Marshall gets us done second and third pretty easily.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV −2%

◆ entry$1.15 → close$1.17

Marshall’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Lone'er Kavanagh v Brandon Moreno PROP · DECISION WON —

“I'm backing Lone'er Kavanagh to be able to get the first three in there... I'm back in the Lone'er Kavanagh decision.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV −6%

◆ entry$2.88 → close$3.05

Kavanagh’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Marlon Vera v David Martínez PROP · DECISION LOST —

“the Marlon Vera decision line 92 do not mind it whatsoever... I think Marlon Vera is likely to win this fight”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV −1%

◆ entry$3.60 → close$3.65

Vera’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Daniel Zellhuber v King Green PROP · DECISION LOST —

“I think he's going to win the decision... either way decision is evens and that is very live for me.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +2%

◆ entry$1.25 → close$1.22

Zellhuber’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

ÉC

Édgar Cháirez v Felipe Bunes PROP · KO/TKO LOST —

“I'm tempted by the KO line more personally... Édgar Cháirez Ko second and third.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV −1%

◆ entry$1.33 → close$1.34

Cháirez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

WS Wesley Schultz v Damian Pinas PROP · SUBMISSION LOST —

“I think Wesley Schultz is super live for the sub here... the first round sub is something like I think it's 8 to one, which I do like quite a bit”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$3.30 → close$3.30

Schultz’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted