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UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · breakdown

UFC Vegas 119 Kape vs. Horiguchi Full Card MOST CONFIDENT Picks

HP Hayjive Picks60% hit
2 weeks ago 6W–8L · -3.6u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
SC Shane Collins v Otari Tanzilovi MONEYLINE WON
“I would say either a late finish or a decision victory. 29-28 clear round 23. Uh maybe 3027 if he can scoop the first, but give me Collins to get it done.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.57 close$1.57
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
LC Levan Chokheli v Leon Shahbazyan MONEYLINE WON
“I do think Levan Chokheli is the better fighter. I'm going to take Levan Chokheli for the pick here. I think he gets it done.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.29 close$1.31
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
KR Karol Rosa v Luana Santos MONEYLINE LOST
“Probably a decision. Uh, but I mean if they're extended on the feet for, you know, long periods of time and they're in the small cage and Luana Santos can't get any wrestling going, I wouldn't be shocked if Karol Rosa finds a late finish. But, you know, she's a girl that always goes to decision. Uh, pretty much I think every single one of her UFC fights has gone to decision.”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.87 close$1.95
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
MJ Michael Aswell Jr. v Gastón Bolaños MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to take Michael Aswell Jr. to get this one done.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25 close$1.25
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
AN Allan Nascimento v Mitch Raposo MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to take Alan Nasimento. I do think the smaller cage at the apex favors him a little bit more than it was in the first matchup which was supposed to be in Canada at a big arena. So I like that for Alan Allan Nascimento though.”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.57 close$1.62
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
AN Allan Nascimento v Mitch Raposo PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I think he ultimately gets a submission, but uh yeah, I think Allan Nascimento wins.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.57 close$1.62
Nascimento’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BM Beatriz Mesquita v Melissa Mullins MONEYLINE WON
“give me Beatriz Mesquita to get it done.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.20 close$1.20
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
AL André Lima v Kevin Borjas PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“So maybe uh André Lima by sub could be”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17 close$1.17
Lima’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AL André Lima v Kevin Borjas MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to take André Lima to get it done. A lot more ways to win. He should win this fight.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17 close$1.17
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
MM Murtazali Magomedov v Melsik Baghdasaryan MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to take him for the pick. I don't think he should be this big of a favorite, but I do think he probably gets a finish. So, I'm going to take Murtazali Magomedov to get his uh win in his UFC debut.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.33
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
HA Hyder Amil v Christian Rodriguez MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to take Hyder Amil to get this one done. I'm gonna take him as an underdog.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.73 close$2.74
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
AF Andre Fili v Vinicius Oliveira MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to take Andre Fili to get it done as the big dog and uh defend the weight class here at 145.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.54 close$3.54
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
NS Navajo Stirling v Ion Cuțelaba MONEYLINE WON
“I got to go with Navajo Stirling. I think he's the much better minute winner on the feet.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.34 close$1.34
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
MK Manel Kape v Kyoji Horiguchi MONEYLINE WON
“I think we could see a KO. I also think 25 minutes with Manel Kape is a long time to avoid getting hit with big shots.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.67 close$1.68
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish