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UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· breakdown

UFC 319 - full card picks

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10 months ago 7W–2L Β· +5.3u 9/12 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
KS Karine Silva v Dione Barbosa MONEYLINE WON
β€œUh, so I'm going to lean Karine Silva in this fight.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’3%
β—† entry$1.50 β†’ close$1.55
BB Bryan Battle v Nursulton Ruziboev MONEYLINE VALUE
β€œUm, I'm going to take Bryan Battle. I think he's a younger upcoming fighter.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’20%
β—† entry$1.60 β†’ now$2.00
entry: TAB Β· best in any region at publish
EB Edson Barboza v Drakkar Klose MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI think I'm going to lean Edson Barboza.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’9%
β—† entry$1.65 β†’ close$1.82
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
LG Loopy Godinez v JΓ©ssica Andrade MONEYLINE
β€œSo, yeah, I'm going to take the better skill set here.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’20%
β—† entry$1.42 β†’ now$1.77
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
MO MichaΕ‚ Oleksiejczuk v Gerald Meerschaert PROP Β· KO/TKO WON
β€œI'm going to take him by knockout.”
fight iq β†—
Moneyline since pick CLV βˆ’5%
β—† entry$1.40 β†’ close$1.48
Oleksiejczuk’s moneyline β€” prop lines aren’t quoted
CF Carlos Diego Ferreira v King Green PROP Β· KO/TKO VALUE
β€œI believe Carlos Diego Ferreira wins this fight inside the distance.”
fight iq β†—
Moneyline since pick CLV βˆ’21%
β—† entry$1.58 β†’ now$2.00
Ferreira’s moneyline β€” prop lines aren’t quoted
TE Tim Elliott v Kai Asakura MONEYLINE WON
β€œI think I'm leaning Tim here.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’8%
β—† entry$3.55 β†’ close$3.85
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
MP Michael Page v Jared Cannonier MONEYLINE WON
β€œI uh I strongly lean Michael Page.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.56 β†’ close$1.56
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
CP Carlos Prates v Geoff Neal MONEYLINE WON
β€œBut I'm going to lean Carlos Prates.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’9%
β—† entry$1.36 β†’ close$1.50
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
LM Lerone Murphy v Aaron Pico MONEYLINE WON
β€œI think we're looking at a Lerone Murphy decision.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’16%
β—† entry$2.23 β†’ close$2.65
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
DP Dricus du Plessis v Khamzat Chimaev MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI got to go Dricus du Plessis, man.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’24%
β—† entry$2.63 β†’ close$3.46
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
AH Alexander Hernandez v Chase Hooper MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œSo, yeah, man. I'm I'm leading the dog in this part, too. But ... I'm going to do to take Alexander Hernandez in the spot, man.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’18%
β—† entry$3.15 β†’ close$3.85
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish