UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Buckley · breakdown
UFC Fight Predictions | Fight Night: Covington vs Buckley
MA
MMA Attic61% hit
18 months ago
6W–7L · -5.3u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JK
Josefine Lindgren Knutsson
v Piera Rodríguez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Josefine Lindgren Knutsson
v Piera Rodríguez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“we will still be betting Josefine Lindgren Knutsson here with this fight likely going to a decision”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$3.00
→
close$3.15
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
MM
Miranda Maverick
v Jamey-Lyn Horth
MONEYLINE
WON
Miranda Maverick
v Jamey-Lyn Horth
MONEYLINE
WON
“the prediction model likes her chances I think her grappling should be more than enough to control this fight”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.20
→
close$1.20
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.44
→
close$1.45
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
FP
Fernando Padilla
v Sean Woodson
MONEYLINE
LOST
Fernando Padilla
v Sean Woodson
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model sees a very tiny Advantage for Fernando Padilla”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$2.48
→
close$2.40
entry: Betclic · best in any region at publish
OA
Ottman Azaitar
v Michael Johnson
MONEYLINE
LOST
Ottman Azaitar
v Michael Johnson
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model thinks it's about time for Ottman Azaitar to get his career back on track”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.85
→
close$3.00
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
NS
Navajo Stirling
v Tuco Tokkos
MONEYLINE
WON
Navajo Stirling
v Tuco Tokkos
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model also views this match up strongly in favor of him”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.17
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.96
→
close$2.02
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
VP
Vitor Petrino
v Dustin Jacoby
MONEYLINE
LOST
Vitor Petrino
v Dustin Jacoby
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model generated one of its largest spreads with him at minus 278”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.35
→
close$1.35
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
MK
Manel Kape
v Bruno Gustavo da Silva
MONEYLINE
WON
Manel Kape
v Bruno Gustavo da Silva
MONEYLINE
WON
“both the books and model have cap as the favorite here I'd rather have risked one unit on Bruno Gustavo da Silva here but we'll do as the model tells us and bet cap”
Line since pick
—
no market data captured for this fight
BQ
Billy Quarantillo
v Cub Swanson
MONEYLINE
LOST
Billy Quarantillo
v Cub Swanson
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the book and the model both prefer cornello in this fight”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.68
→
close$1.68
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
CC
Colby Covington
v Joaquin Buckley
MONEYLINE
LOST
Colby Covington
v Joaquin Buckley
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the books have Joaquin Buckley as a minus 280 favorite and the model likes him as well”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$3.35
→
close$3.30
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
JB
Joaquin Buckley
v Colby Covington
MONEYLINE
WON
Joaquin Buckley
v Colby Covington
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model likes him as well at minus 138 I don't think Colby Covington has the same drive that he once did if Joaquin Buckley can keep this fight at range it should be an easy win”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.38
→
close$1.43
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
DM
Daniel Marcos
v Adrian Yañez
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Daniel Marcos
v Adrian Yañez
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“the model sees it very EVENT_DETAILSrakkar but still has him edging it out at minus 103 it is likely very EVENT_DETAILSrakkar because Adrian Yañez has many more bouts in major promotions but it still likes EVENT_DETAILSaniel EVENT_DETAILSaniel Marcos so that's where we'll be placing our bet”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.53
→
close$1.53
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish