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Buckley vs CovingtonMain Card · Welterweight
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Maverick vs HorthPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Grant vs TaverasPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Rodríguez vs KnutssonPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CC
Buckley vs CovingtonMain Card · Welterweight
CS
BQ
Swanson vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight
MK
BS
Kape vs SilvaMain Card · Flyweight
DJ
VP
Jacoby vs PetrinoMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DM
AY
Marcos vs YañezMain Card · Bantamweight
NS
TT
Stirling vs TokkosMain Card · Light Heavyweight
MJ
OA
Johnson vs AzaitarPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JÁ
DK
Álvarez vs KlosePreliminary Card · Lightweight
SW
FP
Woodson vs PadillaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
FL
MJ
Lima vs JohnsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MM
JH
Maverick vs HorthPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DG
RT
Grant vs TaverasPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
PR
JK
Rodríguez vs KnutssonPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Covington
over Buckley · Welterweight
Our fair value$3.07
pays above fair
$3.25
Best prices · Covington
Bovada · US
$3.00
Betway · UK
$2.75
Pinnacle · EU
$2.90
TAB · AU
$3.25
Where to back Covington
best price · region · EV vs fair $3.07
US
Bovada
$3.00
-2%
Bovada
$3.00
-2%
UK
Betway
$2.75
-10%
Betway
$2.75
-10%
EU
Pinnacle
$2.90
-6%
Pinnacle
$2.90
-6%
AU
TAB
$3.25
+6%
TAB
$3.25
+6%
How it endsmethod calls · Covington · crowd line
KO/TKO
5
$17.79
Submission
5
$17.79
Decision
19
$4.68
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Buckley 21-7
VS
17-4 Covington
5'10"
height
5'11"
171 lb
weight
171 lb
76"
reach
72"
32
age
38
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.1
strikes landed / min
3.9
36%
striking accuracy
38%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
57%
striking defence
55%
2.0
takedowns / 15 min
3.8
46%
takedown accuracy
44%
69%
takedown defence
67%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market33% vs 31%
Consensus34 of 97 analysts
Sharpest angleCovington by Decision — 19 of 29 method calls
Recommendation
Back Covington @ $3.25 · fair $3.07
+6% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Colby Covington
“I have a feeling that he's he's gonna be able to do what NOT_IN_ROSTER_20 did to NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 and be like oh here I could just take you down you know... I think Billy Quarantillo could not [expletive] stuff it g take down I'll be literally so pissed out of my mind I honestly think I would hedge that bet”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Colby Covington
“I have a feeling that he's he's gonna be able to do what NOT_IN_ROSTER_20 did to NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 and be like oh here I could just take you down you know... I think Billy Quarantillo could not [expletive] stuff it g take down I'll be literally so pissed out of my mind I honestly think I would hedge that bet”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
“Joaquin Buckley carries right”
The Rambling Dad picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
“Joaquin Buckley carries right”
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Joaquin Buckley
B ALL N Sports picks Joaquin Buckley
ES
etoft21 sports picks Joaquin Buckley
“give me Joaquin Buckley here I took him KO like Joaquin Buckley who is as good as he is down Joaquin Buckley six and0 three wins by Joaquin Buckley Stronger Faster”
etoft21 sports picks Joaquin Buckley
“give me Joaquin Buckley here I took him KO like Joaquin Buckley who is as good as he is down Joaquin Buckley six and0 three wins by Joaquin Buckley Stronger Faster”
TC
The "CASUAL" Cam picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
“so yeah I like her to uh pull this upset off these odds are far too wide if you ask me”
The "CASUAL" Cam picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
“so yeah I like her to uh pull this upset off these odds are far too wide if you ask me”
UD
UFC DUBLADO picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
“a vitória do Joaquin Buckley por nocel decisão”
UFC DUBLADO picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
“a vitória do Joaquin Buckley por nocel decisão”
UD
UFC DUBLADO picks Colby Covington VALUE
“a vitória do Colby Covington por noout ou decisão”
UFC DUBLADO picks Colby Covington VALUE
“a vitória do Colby Covington por noout ou decisão”
MP
MMA Pros Pick picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
“I am favoring Mr Joaquin Buckley in this fight I think that he'll be able to uh he'll be able to find the shot and maybe maybe KO Kobe or get a technical KO”
MMA Pros Pick picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
“I am favoring Mr Joaquin Buckley in this fight I think that he'll be able to uh he'll be able to find the shot and maybe maybe KO Kobe or get a technical KO”
MM
MMAJesus420 picks Joaquin Buckley
“the main event here we go uh younger fresher fight younger fresher fighter here guys um minus 250 easy parlay leg uh should be by KO should be by KO and I would love to see it uh Joaquin Buckley is on a Resurgence I this is one of my top 10 favorite Fighters right now uh Colby Covington is you know [__] he's not good at all especially as of late I mean he's just done nothing almost got knocked out by Jorge that fight was horrible his kamaro fights were good you know um but yeah guys uh hope you enjoyed the picks I think it should be a fun easy card to make some money on um looking forward to it guys and if you haven't yet give me a follow on all platforms you know I would greatly appreciate it guys uh Merry Christmas and a happy New Year peace”
$1.40
MMAJesus420 picks Joaquin Buckley
“the main event here we go uh younger fresher fight younger fresher fighter here guys um minus 250 easy parlay leg uh should be by KO should be by KO and I would love to see it uh Joaquin Buckley is on a Resurgence I this is one of my top 10 favorite Fighters right now uh Colby Covington is you know [__] he's not good at all especially as of late I mean he's just done nothing almost got knocked out by Jorge that fight was horrible his kamaro fights were good you know um but yeah guys uh hope you enjoyed the picks I think it should be a fun easy card to make some money on um looking forward to it guys and if you haven't yet give me a follow on all platforms you know I would greatly appreciate it guys uh Merry Christmas and a happy New Year peace”
$1.40
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Colby Covington VALUE
“I think that that the value is on Colby Covington”
Walk The Line MMA picks Colby Covington VALUE
“I think that that the value is on Colby Covington”
MM
MMAvISIONALYSIS picks Colby Covington
“if anybody can do it it's going to be that guy um and also for Joaquin Buckley this could be an immediate title shot if he was to beat Kobe Covington”
MMAvISIONALYSIS picks Colby Covington
“if anybody can do it it's going to be that guy um and also for Joaquin Buckley this could be an immediate title shot if he was to beat Kobe Covington”
CM
Coty MMA picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
“I am going to pick him to win the fight and I bet him Colby plus 230”
Coty MMA picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE
“I am going to pick him to win the fight and I bet him Colby plus 230”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Buckley21-7
L
Brady
May '26
L
Usman
Jun '25
W
Covington
Dec '24
W
Thompson
Oct '24
W
Ruziboev
May '24
Covington17-4
L
Buckley
Dec '24
L
Edwards
Dec '23
W
Masvidal
Mar '22
L
Usman
Nov '21
W
Woodley
Sep '20