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UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Buckley
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JB CC Buckley vs CovingtonMain Card · Welterweight CS BQ Swanson vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight MK BS Kape vs SilvaMain Card · Flyweight DJ VP Jacoby vs PetrinoMain Card · Light Heavyweight DM AY Marcos vs YañezMain Card · Bantamweight NS TT Stirling vs TokkosMain Card · Light Heavyweight MJ OA Johnson vs AzaitarPreliminary Card · Lightweight JÁ DK Álvarez vs KlosePreliminary Card · Lightweight SW FP Woodson vs PadillaPreliminary Card · Featherweight FL MJ Lima vs JohnsPreliminary Card · Featherweight MM JH Maverick vs HorthPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight DG RT Grant vs TaverasPreliminary Card · Bantamweight PR JK Rodríguez vs KnutssonPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE We back Jacoby over Petrino · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$3.48 Betsson pays above fair $3.90
Where to back Jacoby best price · region · EV vs fair $3.48
US BetAnything $3.65 +5%
UK Betway $3.50 +1%
EU Betsson $3.90 +12%
AU PlayUp $3.50 +1%
Consensus54 picks · conf 71/99
Jacoby 19
35 Petrino
ETMMAI pick Jacoby
How it endsmethod calls · Jacoby · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $12.76
Decision 7 $5.47
None 1 $38.27
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jacoby 22-9-1 VS 13-2 Petrino
6'3" height 6'2"
204 lb weight 250 lb
76" reach 78"
38 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 3.4
65% striking accuracy 64%
2.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
64% striking defence 69%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.4
38% takedown accuracy 32%
61% takedown defence 53%
1.5 submissions / 15 min 1.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market29% vs 26%
Consensus19 of 54 analysts
Sharpest angleJacoby by Decision — 7 of 11 method calls
Recommendation Back Jacoby @ $3.90 · fair $3.48 +12% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UD UFC DUBLADO picks Vitor Petrino VALUE “Vitor Petrino Vitória seca certo”
MP MMA Pros Pick picks Vitor Petrino “I am picking Petrino in this fight”
MM Magnusisp MMA picks Vitor Petrino “I think he's going to beat DUS and jacobe fairly easily”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Vitor Petrino “sí me voy a ir con Vitor Petrino” $1.33
HT Halil Türkoğlu picks Vitor Petrino VALUE “şimdi bu adam hırslı şekilde gelecektir Çünkü Yenil Anton adam kariyerinin sonunda O yüzden şimdiki rakibini D mağlup edecektir Güven endeksi hırslı olduğu için ev satılır basılır”
MB MMA Badger picks Dustin Jacoby “I'll pick Dustin Dustin Jacoby for this odds”
LE Lepresident picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “I am going to go with Dustin Jacoby in this fight”
TP Tony's Picks picks Vitor Petrino “give me Victor Petrino to get done”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Vitor Petrino “my subscribers and I went with Vitor Vitor Petrino” $1.36
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Vitor Petrino “Vitor Petrino and Joel Álvarez also seems pretty good as like a double favorite play as far as parlays go”
UR UFC RAIZ picks Vitor Petrino VALUE “eu acredito muito que o vd petrino vai levar essa lSean Woodsona”
UF UFCWissen picks Vitor Petrino VALUE “ich denke dass Vitor Petrino das auf jeden FaJamey-Lyn HorthJamey-Lyn Horth wiederhoJamey-Lyn Horthen wird”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jacoby22-9-1
W Walker KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Lopes KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Petrino KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
L Menifield Decision · R3 Dec '23
Petrino13-2
W Asplund Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Petersen KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
W Lane Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Jacoby KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Smith Submission · R1 May '24