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UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Buckley
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BEST PRICE We back Yañez over Marcos · Bantamweight Our fair value$2.79 Pinnacle pays above fair $2.95
Where to back Yañez best price · region · EV vs fair $2.79
US DraftKings $2.95 +6%
UK LiveScore Bet $2.80 +0%
EU Pinnacle $2.95 +6%
AU SportsBet $2.86 +2%
Consensus59 picks · conf 72/99
Marcos 35
24 Yañez
BTTMmM pick Marcos
How it endsmethod calls · Yañez · crowd line
KO/TKO 8 $3.84
Decision 3 $10.24
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Marcos 16-0 VS 17-5 Yañez
5'7" height —
135 lb weight —
69" reach —
33 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.9 strikes landed / min 6.5
52% striking accuracy 41%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 5.8
63% striking defence 57%
0.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
50% takedown accuracy 0%
87% takedown defence 100%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market36% vs 34%
Consensus24 of 59 analysts
Sharpest angleYañez by KO/TKO — 8 of 11 method calls
Recommendation Back Yañez @ $2.95 · fair $2.79 +6% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Daniel Marcos “I think his striking is way better... I NOT_IN_ROSTER_26 to just do this long”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Adrian Yañez “I NOT_IN_ROSTER_26 a bet on Memphis and they're up 8582 college baset but I'm sorry I NOT_IN_ROSTER_26 to do this... I think Adrian Yañez jannis plus three and a half”
TC The "CASUAL" Cam picks Adrian Yañez VALUE “I think if there is a finish I think Adrian Janis is finishing Daniel Marco other than that I think it goes to a decision so plus three and a half probably wouldn't hurt here but I wouldn't do it but I do like Adrian Yañez to get right against Daniel Marcos”
MP MMA Pros Pick picks Daniel Marcos VALUE “Marcos for me is a favorite in this fight and he's a favorite according to EVENT_DETAILS makers as well”
CM Coty MMA picks Adrian Yañez VALUE “give me adri Adrian Yañez man I bet him at plus 195”
MM Magnusisp MMA picks Adrian Yañez “I'm going to go with Adrian Yañez probably by a decision”
GB Gilbert Durinho Brasil picks Daniel Marcos “acho que Daniel Marcos Vence essa luta”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Daniel Marcos “siento que sí Daniel Marcos tiene que ganar es el Favorito” $1.59
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Daniel Marcos “Daniel Marcos is a 2022 Dana White Contender series Alum and he is 3-0 in the UFC thus far with won no contest against aqi long”
SV Sports Vlog picks Adrian Yañez “I'm going with Adrian Yañez”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Adrian Yañez VALUE “I think Marcos will do well”
MB MMA Badger picks Daniel Marcos “I'm picking Marcus because Yannis has shown to have terrible deficiencies in his when it comes to leg kicks he really can handle those I'm picking markers he's probably going to work on his legs probably going to get on knockout here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Marcos16-0
W Johns Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Jackson Decision · R3 May '25
W Yañez Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Castañeda Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Grant Decision · R3 Jul '23
Yañez17-5
L Marcos Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Salvador KO/TKO · R1 May '24
L Martinez KO/TKO · R2 Oct '23
L Font KO/TKO · R1 Apr '23
W Kelley KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22