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Álvarez vs KlosePreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Álvarez v Klose
Lightweight
Our fair value
$1.23
best price $1.22
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Álvarez
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.23
US
BetRivers
$1.22
-1%
BetRivers
$1.22
-1%
UK
Unibet (UK)
$1.22
-1%
Unibet (UK)
$1.22
-1%
EU
Unibet (EU)
$1.22
-1%
Unibet (EU)
$1.22
-1%
AU
Unibet
$1.22
-1%
Unibet
$1.22
-1%
How it endsmethod calls · Álvarez · crowd line
KO/TKO
9
$3.15
Submission
13
$2.18
Decision
1
$28.37
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Álvarez 23-3
VS
16-3-1 Klose
6'3"
height
5'9"
171 lb
weight
156 lb
77"
reach
70"
33
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.9
strikes landed / min
4.4
62%
striking accuracy
55%
4.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.5
54%
striking defence
51%
2.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
37%
takedown accuracy
26%
50%
takedown defence
69%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market81% vs 82%
Consensus33 of 40 analysts
Sharpest angleÁlvarez by Submission — 13 of 23 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ES
etoft21 sports picks Joel Álvarez VALUE
etoft21 sports picks Joel Álvarez VALUE
TC
The "CASUAL" Cam picks Joel Álvarez VALUE
“I think Joel AZ is going to find a finish in this fight I don't think it's going to go to distance and I don't think Vegas does either but I'm loving Joel Álvarez here”
The "CASUAL" Cam picks Joel Álvarez VALUE
“I think Joel AZ is going to find a finish in this fight I don't think it's going to go to distance and I don't think Vegas does either but I'm loving Joel Álvarez here”
MP
MMA Pros Pick picks Drakkar Klose VALUE
“so yeah Joe Alaris safe pick Drakkar Klose”
MMA Pros Pick picks Drakkar Klose VALUE
“so yeah Joe Alaris safe pick Drakkar Klose”
MM
Magnusisp MMA picks Drakkar Klose
“I'm going to go with him back to win this by like a first round second round KO”
Magnusisp MMA picks Drakkar Klose
“I'm going to go with him back to win this by like a first round second round KO”
CT
Combat Sports Today picks Joel Álvarez
“I and Joel Álvarez for me this is Joel Alvarez all day”
Combat Sports Today picks Joel Álvarez
“I and Joel Álvarez for me this is Joel Alvarez all day”
MB
MMA Badger picks Joel Álvarez
“give me Joel Álvarez to win I'll say by finish probably a knockout”
MMA Badger picks Joel Álvarez
“give me Joel Álvarez to win I'll say by finish probably a knockout”
LE
Lepresident picks Joel Álvarez VALUE
“I think Joel Álvarez will comfortably win this fight and I think it will be by knockout of Drakkar Klose”
Lepresident picks Joel Álvarez VALUE
“I think Joel Álvarez will comfortably win this fight and I think it will be by knockout of Drakkar Klose”
TH
TheWeasle picks Joel Álvarez
“I'm going with Alvarez I think he's better in the standup I think he's better on the ground he's way bigger works the jab very well good knees dangerous on the ground jar closes like your lightweight jack of all trades and I think Alvarez is better in the Striking and better on the ground while also just being physically bigger should be a good performance from y Alvarez”
$1.23
TheWeasle picks Joel Álvarez
“I'm going with Alvarez I think he's better in the standup I think he's better on the ground he's way bigger works the jab very well good knees dangerous on the ground jar closes like your lightweight jack of all trades and I think Alvarez is better in the Striking and better on the ground while also just being physically bigger should be a good performance from y Alvarez”
$1.23
DR
drhousemma picks Joel Álvarez
“got Joel Álvarez Drakkar Klose I mean Joe's Joel Álvarez is a very good guy very good fighter I like him”
drhousemma picks Joel Álvarez
“got Joel Álvarez Drakkar Klose I mean Joe's Joel Álvarez is a very good guy very good fighter I like him”
TP
Tony's Picks picks Joel Álvarez
“I think Joel Álvarez wins and he gets it done”
Tony's Picks picks Joel Álvarez
“I think Joel Álvarez wins and he gets it done”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Joel Álvarez
“officially I'm picking what do you call him Joel Álvarez my subscribers are also picking Joel Álvarez”
$1.29
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Joel Álvarez
“officially I'm picking what do you call him Joel Álvarez my subscribers are also picking Joel Álvarez”
$1.29
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Álvarez23-3
L
Amosov
May '26
W
Luque
Oct '25
W
Klose
Dec '24
W
Brener
Aug '24
W
Diakiese
Jul '23
Klose16-3-1
W
Barboza
Aug '25
L
Álvarez
Dec '24
W
Silva
May '24
W
Solecki
Dec '23
W
García
Jul '22