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Álvarez vs KlosePreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Swanson
over Quarantillo · Featherweight
Our fair value$2.18
Caesars · US
$2.40
LiveScore Bet · UK
$2.38
Where to back Swanson
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.18
US
Caesars
$2.40
+10%
Caesars
$2.40
+10%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$2.38
+9%
LiveScore Bet
$2.38
+9%
EU
Pinnacle
$2.41
+10%
AU
TABtouch
$2.38
+9%
How it endsmethod calls · Swanson · crowd line
KO/TKO
3
$10.19
Decision
11
$2.78
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Swanson 30-14
VS
18-6 Quarantillo
5'8"
height
5'10"
146 lb
weight
146 lb
70"
reach
70"
42
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
7.4
50%
striking accuracy
56%
3.9
strikes absorbed / min
5.6
59%
striking defence
43%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
50%
takedown accuracy
23%
63%
takedown defence
61%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
1.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market46% vs 41%
Consensus32 of 58 analysts
Sharpest angleSwanson by Decision — 11 of 14 method calls
Recommendation
Back Swanson @ $2.41 · fair $2.18
+10% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Cub Swanson
“I think Cub Swanson's getting too old I think it's Billy Quarantillo's time but I do think it's a close fight and Cub Swanson can definitely win one round or this can definitely be a [expletive] Split Decision fight”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Billy Quarantillo
“Billy Quarantillo all day knockout or submission I think gets it down gets it NOT_IN_ROSTER_27 quick man”
MP
MMA Pros Pick picks Cub Swanson VALUE
“I think that cop gets it done in this fight”
MM
MMAJesus420 picks Cub Swanson VALUE
“Cub Swanson vers Billy Q so I've got like four dogs already and I'm going with another one plus 135 Cub Swanson um I think Cub got blatantly robbed in his last fight absolutely horrible uh one of one of the worst decisions in 2024 um we we're seeing that a lot guys we're seeing a lot of robbery so just watch out for that when you're when you're thinking about close fights or or betting you might just want to take decisions or or nonf finishes or finishes no distance you know a lot of these fires are getting robbed and we we seen it last week maybe two or three robberies uh last Saturday it happens every week guys it is what it is it's a part of the game um I I think we need better judges personally but yeah I'm gonna go with Cub man he showed a lot in his last fight against a tough opponent and Andre Philly I think Billy Quarantillo his chin is some somewhat suspect at this point yeah he beat Damon Jackson okay that was nice but got really easily knocked out by Edson Barbosa yes it was the knee it was powerful but he went right into it he he telegraphed it and Edson that's what he does you know you don't do that to Edson like that very low IQ for me so I gotta go Cub man”
$2.35
CM
Coty MMA picks Billy Quarantillo VALUE
“give me Billy Q I think maybe like a third round choke or a decision”
MM
Magnusisp MMA picks Cub Swanson
“I'm going to go with Billy quarantillo just because he's the favorite”
GB
Gilbert Durinho Brasil picks Cub Swanson
“eu acho que abson ganha”
SV
Sports Vlog picks Cub Swanson
“I just have more confidence picking cub in this fight”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Cub Swanson VALUE
“I got to go Cub Swanson to get the job done at plus 130 6”
$2.36
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Cub Swanson
“I'm going to go with Billy Q”
MB
MMA Badger picks Cub Swanson
“Cub Swanson and Vitor Petrino I'm picking Cub Swanson to win I think he's just going to get better of Vitor Petrino on the feet”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Swanson30-14
W
Landwehr
Apr '26
W
Quarantillo
Dec '24
L
Fili
Jun '24
W
Dawodu
Aug '23
L
Martinez
Oct '22
Quarantillo18-6
L
Swanson
Dec '24
L
Zalal
Mar '24
W
Jackson
Aug '23
L
Barboza
Apr '23
W
Hernandez
Dec '22