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UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· breakdown

UFC 319 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown

1M 138 MMA60% hit
10 months ago 5W–4L Β· +0.2u 9/12 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
DB Dione Barbosa v Karine Silva MONEYLINE LOST
β€œI think that's a no-brainer. Girl already beat her once. Ber four- one in their last five. We saw Karine Silva gas out bad against NOT_IN_ROSTER_1. I think the the side for me has to be Edson Barboza. I think she's got I think she's got a lot of advantages here where she needs them and I think I'm going to take her to get this one done.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’5%
β—† entry$2.75 β†’ close$2.90
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
BB Bryan Battle v Nursulton Ruziboev MONEYLINE VALUE
β€œHonestly, for me, minus 159 on EVENT_DETAILS for Bryan Battle is a gem. So, we're taking it. Brian Battle gets this one done. That is my belief.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’20%
β—† entry$1.60 β†’ now$2.00
entry: TAB Β· best in any region at publish
DK Drakkar Klose v Edson Barboza MONEYLINE WON
β€œI'm gonna have to take Jakar close because you get him at plus 129 over on EVENT_DETAILS and I think if you're gonna give me him at dog money in a fight where I think he can cage push his way to a boring decision I'm going to take him.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’5%
β—† entry$2.23 β†’ close$2.35
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
CH Chase Hooper v Alexander Hernandez MONEYLINE LOST
β€œat minus 306 for Chase Hooper, that line is nowhere near wide enough. Chase Hooper is he's the side.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$1.36 β†’ close$1.38
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
LG Loopy Godinez v JΓ©ssica Andrade MONEYLINE
β€œI am going to pick Lupita Gonz because I do think if somehow she fights to the right game plan, she should be able to get the win.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’6%
β—† entry$1.67 β†’ now$1.77
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
GM Gerald Meerschaert v MichaΕ‚ Oleksiejczuk MONEYLINE LOST
β€œAnd on EVENT_DETAILS, you got Jerald Mirshard at plus 191. So, guess what? We're riding with Gerald Meerschaert here. I think he probably gets a sub at some point.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’10%
β—† entry$2.95 β†’ close$3.28
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
CF Carlos Diego Ferreira v King Green MONEYLINE
β€œI'm gonna take Diego Carlos Diego Ferreira, but it's it's a close fight for me.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’16%
β—† entry$1.68 β†’ now$2.00
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
MP Michael Page v Jared Cannonier MONEYLINE WON
β€œI think I think he's he's a side for for this one. But uh Oh, that's tricky. Jared Cannonier is very good. Jared Kenner beats a lot of really good guys. I'm still gonna I'm still going to side with Michael Page very very slightly.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.56 β†’ close$1.56
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
CP Carlos Prates v Geoff Neal MONEYLINE WON
β€œAlthough at on over on EVENT_DETAILS you can get minus 279 for Prochez, which I think is a bit wide, I still going to take him for the pick.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’4%
β—† entry$1.44 β†’ close$1.50
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
KC Khamzat Chimaev v Dricus du Plessis MONEYLINE WON
β€œIf you're going to say, the defending champion, he's a plus 179 underdog over on CloudB and he's got all the plot armor. He could potentially be the main character of this story arc. I gotta take Drius, but I just don't really know. So, we're going to take Drias 2 plus to be the defending champion.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$1.49 β†’ close$1.50
entry: LiveScore Bet Β· best in any region at publish
KA Kai Asakura v Tim Elliott MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œFor me, ultimately at minus 297, I think at minus 297 over on Clat, Ka Sakura is the side.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’2%
β—† entry$1.33 β†’ close$1.35
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
LM Lerone Murphy v Aaron Pico MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œif you're giving me the 16-0 undefeated fighter against a guy making his EVENT_DETAILS debut and the undefeated veteran of the promotion is plus 119 on EVENT_DETAILS. Yeah, I got to go Luron Murphy.”
fight iq β†—
Line since pick CLV βˆ’8%
β—† entry$2.45 β†’ close$2.65
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish