UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Line since pick
CLV +6%
◆ entry$2.35
→
close$2.22
entry: ESPN BET · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +8%
◆ entry$1.51
→
close$1.40
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.80
→
close$1.74
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
JD
Jhonata Diniz
v Marcin Tybura
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Jhonata Diniz
v Marcin Tybura
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I am going to be picking Jhonata Diniz to get the win by TKO”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.25
→
close$2.28
Diniz’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DJ
Damon Jackson
v Jim Miller
MONEYLINE
LOST
Damon Jackson
v Jim Miller
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think Damon Jackson will kind of outpoint his way to a decision”
Line since pick
CLV +9%
◆ entry$1.77
→
close$1.62
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −7%
◆ entry$3.25
→
close$3.50
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
MM
Marcus McGhee
v Jonathan Martinez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Marcus McGhee
v Jonathan Martinez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm going to pick Marcus McGhee”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.77
→
close$1.80
McGhee’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MR
Maurício Ruffy
v James Llontop
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Maurício Ruffy
v James Llontop
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'm going to go with a controversial pick of a submission win”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.14
→
close$1.12
Ruffy’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BN
Bo Nickal
v Paul Craig
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Bo Nickal
v Paul Craig
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“he'll win he'll win by KO cuz Craig is incapable”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.11
→
close$1.08
Nickal’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.17
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
CO
Charles Oliveira
v Michael Chandler
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Charles Oliveira
v Michael Chandler
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“Charles Oliveira by round two subish”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.41
→
close$1.44
Oliveira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted




