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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Malkoun v Dobson Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Malkoun 1
4 Dobson
D pick Malkoun
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Malkoun 9-3 VS 7-3 Dobson
5'9" height
185 lb weight
73" reach
30 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 4.3
56% striking accuracy 46%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 5.3
52% striking defence 46%
6.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
42% takedown accuracy 75%
20% takedown defence 65%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks A.J. Dobson VALUE “i like A.J. Dobson to win A.J. Dobson thompson will be in my draftkings lineup” $83.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jacob Malkoun VALUE “give me dobson here has a core play i think he has a ton of upside”
AM Artem MMA picks A.J. Dobson “i'm going A.J. Dobson in this one”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks A.J. Dobson “i will be taking a dobson to win this fight” $1.83
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks A.J. Dobson VALUE “i'm gonna side with A.J. Dobson” $1.67
WP We Want Picks picks A.J. Dobson VALUE “i like A.J. Dobson to win”
WP We Want Picks picks A.J. Dobson “i like aj in this fight i do worry that if jacob just ducks and shoots he'll control aj but the fact that aj is not gun shy at all and will have a very clear speed advantage i like him to touch jacob three times to everyone i think he's just gonna be in his face have crazy speed he's got that power because jacob coons throwing with the loops even a jab which should be straightforward he's still looping his jab and that half a second will be the difference for somebody like aj jobson to laser right down the middle and just absolutely touch him up so i am not fading the contender series guy i hate that narrative i think it's absurd hopefully all of you do so i can keep a solid line on A.J. Dobson here the dude's a killer i just hope he doesn't get out wrestled”
AM Artem MMA picks A.J. Dobson “Jacob Malkoun is on the card i think he's going to get smoked by A.J. Dobson”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Malkoun9-3
W Meerschaert Decision · R3 May '26
W Finney Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Petroski KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
L Brundage DQ · R1 Sep '23
W Maximov Decision · R3 Oct '22
Dobson7-3
L Shahbazyan KO/TKO · R1 Mar '24
W Nchukwi Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Malkoun Decision · R3 Feb '22