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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Tuivasa v Lewis
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Tuivasa 15-9
VS
29-13 Lewis
6'2"
height
6'3"
265 lb
weight
265 lb
75"
reach
79"
33
age
41
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.8
strikes landed / min
2.5
46%
striking accuracy
50%
5.2
strikes absorbed / min
2.5
44%
striking defence
40%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
0%
takedown accuracy
26%
57%
takedown defence
52%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“i gotta go with Tai Tuivasa tui vasa especially at 7 400 the streak he's riding the skill set that he has i got to go tied to ivasa”
$75.00
We Want Picks picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“i gotta go with Tai Tuivasa tui vasa especially at 7 400 the streak he's riding the skill set that he has i got to go tied to ivasa”
$75.00
AV
Alexander Volkanovski picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“i'm stoked for him to have this opportunity as well i think this puts him right up in total contention especially after the big uh victories he's had ... i'm predicting a shoei i know he's getting that win my boy's getting that win i hope so let's get into the main EVENT_DETAILS this one's uh obviously going to be different ... i'm going with Israel Adesanya on that one but again i'm always going to back uh back my boys so i'm really looking forward to this thanks for tuning in”
Alexander Volkanovski picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“i'm stoked for him to have this opportunity as well i think this puts him right up in total contention especially after the big uh victories he's had ... i'm predicting a shoei i know he's getting that win my boy's getting that win i hope so let's get into the main EVENT_DETAILS this one's uh obviously going to be different ... i'm going with Israel Adesanya on that one but again i'm always going to back uh back my boys so i'm really looking forward to this thanks for tuning in”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“Derrick Lewis i feel you lewis yeah man”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“Derrick Lewis i feel you lewis yeah man”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“i think Derrick Lewis catches him um so i think louis if he does win there's a good chance it is in that first round”
$1.18
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“i think Derrick Lewis catches him um so i think louis if he does win there's a good chance it is in that first round”
$1.18
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tai Tuivasa
“it takes alex perez”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tai Tuivasa
“it takes alex perez”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“let's take Derrick Lewis”
The MMA-Holes picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“let's take Derrick Lewis”
WP
We Want Picks picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“i like tai tuivasa to win i love him in the underdog spot”
We Want Picks picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“i like tai tuivasa to win i love him in the underdog spot”
WP
We Want Picks picks Derrick Lewis
“so i'm going derrick lewis in this fight”
We Want Picks picks Derrick Lewis
“so i'm going derrick lewis in this fight”
AM
Artem MMA picks Derrick Lewis
“i'm going to go with Derrick Lewis”
Artem MMA picks Derrick Lewis
“i'm going to go with Derrick Lewis”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“my prediction on this fight guys tied to ivasa”
$2.50
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“my prediction on this fight guys tied to ivasa”
$2.50
SN
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Derrick Lewis
“i think daryl is gonna win this fight personally not that ty can't beat him but i think Derrick Lewis is you know has more experience and also has fought higher competition versus um tied to ivasa”
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Derrick Lewis
“i think daryl is gonna win this fight personally not that ty can't beat him but i think Derrick Lewis is you know has more experience and also has fought higher competition versus um tied to ivasa”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Tuivasa15-9
L
Sutherland
May '26
L
Teixeira
Feb '26
L
Rozenstruik
Aug '24
L
Tybura
Mar '24
L
Volkov
Sep '23
Lewis29-13
L
Hokit
Jun '26
L
Cortes-Acosta
Jan '26
W
Teixeira
Jul '25
W
Nascimento
May '24
L
Almeida
Nov '23