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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
O'Neill v Modafferi
Women'S Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
O'Neill 10-2
VS
25-21 Modafferi
5'6"
height
5'7"
125 lb
weight
125 lb
69"
reach
69"
28
age
43
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
7.9
strikes landed / min
3.4
52%
striking accuracy
30%
5.7
strikes absorbed / min
5.7
57%
striking defence
51%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
34%
takedown accuracy
23%
70%
takedown defence
30%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Casey O'Neill VALUE
“i really feel like Casey O'Neill goes out there puts on a swell performance and beats roxanne mata fairy rather convincingly am i thinking stoppage i'm leaning decision though i think Casey O'Neill will win unanimous decision”
$1.28
MMA EXPERTS picks Casey O'Neill VALUE
“i really feel like Casey O'Neill goes out there puts on a swell performance and beats roxanne mata fairy rather convincingly am i thinking stoppage i'm leaning decision though i think Casey O'Neill will win unanimous decision”
$1.28
WP
We Want Picks picks Casey O'Neill VALUE
“i do like Casey O'Neill quite a bit to win and i will have Casey O'Neill in my lineup because she's got the wrestling she's got the control time even if we remove like this was a third round sub with procopio third round what's a third round win bonus 40 points or something so let's take 10 points off of this she still scored 100 points and i think with Roxanne Modafferi she'll have even more success than she did with procopio so i do like Casey O'Neill quite a bit to win”
$96.00
We Want Picks picks Casey O'Neill VALUE
“i do like Casey O'Neill quite a bit to win and i will have Casey O'Neill in my lineup because she's got the wrestling she's got the control time even if we remove like this was a third round sub with procopio third round what's a third round win bonus 40 points or something so let's take 10 points off of this she still scored 100 points and i think with Roxanne Modafferi she'll have even more success than she did with procopio so i do like Casey O'Neill quite a bit to win”
$96.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Casey O'Neill VALUE
“give me Casey O'Neill here to you know implement that game plan i think it scores very well”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Casey O'Neill VALUE
“give me Casey O'Neill here to you know implement that game plan i think it scores very well”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Casey O'Neill
“Casey O'Neilll might win”
MMA JOEY picks Casey O'Neill
“Casey O'Neilll might win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Casey O'Neill VALUE
“that's why she's the pick she'll probably be in my draftkings lineup and that is why i did a two unit bet it's a parlay Casey O'Neill and Ronnie Lawrence put them together two units i got it at minus 110 i think the line has moved since then so you still might get it from minus 120 minus 130 and that's worth it i think both of them win and dominate”
$1.91
We Want Picks picks Casey O'Neill VALUE
“that's why she's the pick she'll probably be in my draftkings lineup and that is why i did a two unit bet it's a parlay Casey O'Neill and Ronnie Lawrence put them together two units i got it at minus 110 i think the line has moved since then so you still might get it from minus 120 minus 130 and that's worth it i think both of them win and dominate”
$1.91
WP
We Want Picks picks Casey O'Neill VALUE
“i do like Casey O'Neill quite a bit to win”
We Want Picks picks Casey O'Neill VALUE
“i do like Casey O'Neill quite a bit to win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Casey O'Neill
“i see a dominant one-sided decision win for Casey O'Neill and my favorite parlay on this card is a Casey O'Neill and ronnie lawrence parley i already threw two units on that and i got it at -110 because i think both of them are guaranteed winners and you may even want to grab Casey O'Neill by decision because roxanne is just so tough”
We Want Picks picks Casey O'Neill
“i see a dominant one-sided decision win for Casey O'Neill and my favorite parlay on this card is a Casey O'Neill and ronnie lawrence parley i already threw two units on that and i got it at -110 because i think both of them are guaranteed winners and you may even want to grab Casey O'Neill by decision because roxanne is just so tough”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
O'Neill10-2
W
Fernandes
Mar '26
W
Santos
Aug '24
L
Lipski
Dec '23
L
Maia
Mar '23
W
Modafferi
Feb '22
Modafferi25-21
L
O'Neill
Feb '22
L
Santos
Sep '21
L
Araújo
Jan '21
W
Lee
Sep '20
L
Murphy
Jun '20