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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ulberg v Cherant
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ulberg 14-1
VS
7-4 Cherant
6'4"
height
—
205 lb
weight
—
77"
reach
—
35
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.5
strikes landed / min
1.4
63%
striking accuracy
40%
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
4.9
64%
striking defence
38%
2.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
71%
takedown accuracy
0%
77%
takedown defence
0%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“i think Carlos Ulberg zCarlos Ulberg should win only because Fabio Cherant doesn't necessarily have the offensive wrestling”
$90.00
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“i think Carlos Ulberg zCarlos Ulberg should win only because Fabio Cherant doesn't necessarily have the offensive wrestling”
$90.00
AV
Alexander Volkanovski picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“i'm going with Carlos Ulberg just purely because when we talk about all the guys at NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 ... so going with Carlos Ulberg i feel like especially with these kicks and his power i feel like he's going to get a second round finish ... i'm going Carlos Ulberg for the win”
Alexander Volkanovski picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“i'm going with Carlos Ulberg just purely because when we talk about all the guys at NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 ... so going with Carlos Ulberg i feel like especially with these kicks and his power i feel like he's going to get a second round finish ... i'm going Carlos Ulberg for the win”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“i think he goes out here and starches Fabio Cherant Fabio Cherant and three losses all three of them have come inside the distance”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE
“i think he goes out here and starches Fabio Cherant Fabio Cherant and three losses all three of them have come inside the distance”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Fabio Cherant VALUE
“it takes Fabio Cherant”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Fabio Cherant VALUE
“it takes Fabio Cherant”
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“ultimately i am gonna pick ulberg”
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“ultimately i am gonna pick ulberg”
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“i think carlos swordberg should win”
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“i think carlos swordberg should win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“i am gonna lean Carlos Ulberg here but let's not put so much stock into his kickboxing credentials and just ignore the fact that he doesn't really have a lot of mma experience so i imagine he'll be prepared he's definitely had a solid mma gym uber is the pick but this is not you know uh a 100 guarantee in fabio this may be a solid i'm not going to say an underdog spot because i do think uber wins but fabio charan's the type of guy that could absolutely pull something out he's got experience he's got power he's a decent fighter”
We Want Picks picks Carlos Ulberg
“i am gonna lean Carlos Ulberg here but let's not put so much stock into his kickboxing credentials and just ignore the fact that he doesn't really have a lot of mma experience so i imagine he'll be prepared he's definitely had a solid mma gym uber is the pick but this is not you know uh a 100 guarantee in fabio this may be a solid i'm not going to say an underdog spot because i do think uber wins but fabio charan's the type of guy that could absolutely pull something out he's got experience he's got power he's a decent fighter”
AM
Artem MMA picks Carlos Ulberg
“i'm picking Carlos Ulberg”
Artem MMA picks Carlos Ulberg
“i'm picking Carlos Ulberg”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ulberg14-1
W
Procházka
Apr '26
W
Reyes
Sep '25
W
Błachowicz
Mar '25
W
Oezdemir
Nov '24
W
Menifield
May '24
Cherant7-4
L
Ulberg
Feb '22
L
Knight
Aug '21
L
Menifield
Mar '21