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Green vs HaqparastMain Card · Lightweight
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Arlovski vs VanderaaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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O'Neill vs ModafferiPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Phillips vs RojoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Ulberg vs CherantPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Malkoun vs DobsonEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Wells vs MathethaEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Grishin vs KnightEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Wells v Mathetha
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Wells 13-4-1
VS
0-0 Mathetha
5'9"
height
—
170 lb
weight
—
74"
reach
—
39
age
—
Switch
stance
—
4.3
strikes landed / min
—
47%
striking accuracy
—
4.6
strikes absorbed / min
—
63%
striking defence
—
0.7
takedowns / 15 min
—
52%
takedown accuracy
—
52%
takedown defence
—
1.6
submissions / 15 min
—
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE
“i do think Jeremiah Wells wins literally because of his jujitsu and overall mma experience”
$92.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE
“give me Jeremiah Wells here to you know implement that game plan i think it scores very well if he does fight smart”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jeremiah Wells
“listen you know i have to go with Jeremiah Wells here because he's not going to be anywhere near the technical striker or the striker that Mike Mathetha is he's still dangerous on his feet because he does have power he swings wild uh he has solid takedowns he has very good jiu jitsu i like Jeremiah Wells to come in throw in wild close the distance drop down for a takedown and work his jiu jitsu”
AM
Artem MMA picks Jeremiah Wells
“i'm just gonna have to pick Jeremiah Wells it sucks to say Jeremiah Wells is my official pick”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jeremiah Wells
“i'm going Jeremiah Wells because he's the more complete mma fighter but blood diamond mathetha is no joke very dangerous on his feet”
AM
Artem MMA picks Mike Mathetha VALUE
“i'm going with mike mithitha”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Wells13-4-1
W
Gorimbo
Nov '25
L
Griffin
Feb '24
L
Harris
Aug '23
W
Semelsberger
Apr '23
W
McGee
Jun '22
Mathetha0-0
L
Radtke
Sep '23
L
Cosce
Jul '22
L
Wells
Feb '22