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Arlovski vs VanderaaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Cannonier v Brunson
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Cannonier 17-8
VS
23-9 Brunson
5'11"
height
—
186 lb
weight
—
78"
reach
—
42
age
42
Switch
stance
Southpaw
4.5
strikes landed / min
3.5
50%
striking accuracy
47%
4.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
56%
striking defence
51%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
3.1
46%
takedown accuracy
33%
62%
takedown defence
85%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“i'm on brunson and i'm feeling like he's a very viable underdog i think brunson will win a decision”
$2.45
MMA EXPERTS picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“i'm on brunson and i'm feeling like he's a very viable underdog i think brunson will win a decision”
$2.45
WP
We Want Picks picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“i do think Jared Cannonier cannanier wins this fight i understand Derrick Lewis Derek Brunson's wrestling as of late has been fantastic but Jared Cannonier Jared Cannonier has legitimate insane power and Derek Brunson has a questionable chin”
$87.00
We Want Picks picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“i do think Jared Cannonier cannanier wins this fight i understand Derrick Lewis Derek Brunson's wrestling as of late has been fantastic but Jared Cannonier Jared Cannonier has legitimate insane power and Derek Brunson has a questionable chin”
$87.00
SO
Suga Sean O'Malley picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“I think Jared Cannonier gets it done”
Suga Sean O'Malley picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“I think Jared Cannonier gets it done”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“i like Derek Brunson”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“i like Derek Brunson”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“i think kananer puts him out um hopefully early but i think sometime at some point in this fight Jared Cannonier is going to land that big shot”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“i think kananer puts him out um hopefully early but i think sometime at some point in this fight Jared Cannonier is going to land that big shot”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“Derek Brunson at plus one t 145 just to win straight up”
$2.45
Sherdog.com picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“Derek Brunson at plus one t 145 just to win straight up”
$2.45
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Derek Brunson
“the alien says it says derrick brunson with the blonde hair continues to win i mean it's Derek Brunson”
$1.67
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Derek Brunson
“the alien says it says derrick brunson with the blonde hair continues to win i mean it's Derek Brunson”
$1.67
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“Derek Brunson got dem randleman vibes”
The MMA-Holes picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“Derek Brunson got dem randleman vibes”
WP
We Want Picks picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“my pick is as derek Derek Brunson on this matchup and i i think i put a bet on him let me let me check i did i put a just just a unit at plus 145 uh moneyline bet”
$2.45
We Want Picks picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“my pick is as derek Derek Brunson on this matchup and i i think i put a bet on him let me let me check i did i put a just just a unit at plus 145 uh moneyline bet”
$2.45
WP
We Want Picks picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“i'm going derrick brunson decision victory”
We Want Picks picks Derek Brunson VALUE
“i'm going derrick brunson decision victory”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Cannonier17-8
L
Page
Aug '25
W
Rodrigues
Feb '25
L
Borralho
Aug '24
L
Imavov
Jun '24
W
Vettori
Jun '23
Brunson23-9
L
Plessis
Mar '23
L
Cannonier
Feb '22
W
Till
Sep '21
W
Holland
Mar '21
W
Shahbazyan
Aug '20