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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Arlovski v Vanderaa
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Arlovski 34-24
VS
12-10 Vanderaa
6'3"
height
—
245 lb
weight
—
77"
reach
—
47
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.8
strikes landed / min
5.0
45%
striking accuracy
44%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
5.7
57%
striking defence
45%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
0.2
35%
takedown accuracy
50%
76%
takedown defence
20%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“i think arlovski out points jared vandera over the course of the three rounds unanimous decision for the pitbull Andrei Arlovski”
$1.71
MMA EXPERTS picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“i think arlovski out points jared vandera over the course of the three rounds unanimous decision for the pitbull Andrei Arlovski”
$1.71
WP
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“Andrei Arlovskiy lowski's the pick i love him at 8 300”
$84.00
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“Andrei Arlovskiy lowski's the pick i love him at 8 300”
$84.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Andrei Arlovski
“i think if Andrei Arlovski does win it's going to be by decision probably a very boring one”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Andrei Arlovski
“i think if Andrei Arlovski does win it's going to be by decision probably a very boring one”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jared Vanderaa
“i don't see him finishing Jared Vanderaa who is very tough i think if Andrei Arlovski does win it's going to be by decision”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jared Vanderaa
“i don't see him finishing Jared Vanderaa who is very tough i think if Andrei Arlovski does win it's going to be by decision”
WP
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“i like andre to win i've got a money line bet on Andrei Arlovski at -140”
$1.71
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“i like andre to win i've got a money line bet on Andrei Arlovski at -140”
$1.71
AM
Artem MMA picks Andrei Arlovski
“which is why i'm going with Andrei Arlovski”
Artem MMA picks Andrei Arlovski
“which is why i'm going with Andrei Arlovski”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“i'm gonna side with the og the pitbull andre olofski”
$1.50
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“i'm gonna side with the og the pitbull andre olofski”
$1.50
WP
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“andreolofsky's the pick”
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“andreolofsky's the pick”
WP
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski
“i think Andrei Arlovski out points Jared Vanderaa i think he just jab jab jabs his way to a three-round decision win just like he did in his last two fights andre yolowski is the pick but let's not sleep on Jared Vanderaa that poor guy does not get the respect he deserves because he is really good he's just gotten some really bad matchups in the ufc”
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski
“i think Andrei Arlovski out points Jared Vanderaa i think he just jab jab jabs his way to a three-round decision win just like he did in his last two fights andre yolowski is the pick but let's not sleep on Jared Vanderaa that poor guy does not get the respect he deserves because he is really good he's just gotten some really bad matchups in the ufc”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Arlovski34-24
L
Buday
Jun '24
L
Cortes-Acosta
Jan '24
L
Mayes
Jun '23
L
Lima
Oct '22
W
Collier
Apr '22
Vanderaa12-10
L
Cortes-Acosta
Oct '22
L
Sherman
Jul '22
L
Oleinik
Apr '22
L
Arlovski
Feb '22
L
Romanov
Oct '21