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UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Moicano v Hernandez Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Moicano 2
4 Hernandez
MW pick Moicano
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Moicano 20-7-1 VS 18-8 Hernandez
5'11" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 155 lb
72" reach 72"
37 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 2.6
49% striking accuracy 49%
3.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
60% striking defence 64%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
44% takedown accuracy 52%
72% takedown defence 58%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Renato Moicano VALUE “i'm gonna go moycano wins via decision i like kanato moycano here i'm feeling him i'm feeling them pretty pretty decent confidence” $1.65
WP We Want Picks picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE “i like alex Alexander Hernandez to win this fight i have to trust that he will try to wrestle”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE “i feel like he's live for the knockout there's not a ton of dogs that i do like uh but Alexander Hernandez i feel like if he wins it's going to be a knockout”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Renato Moicano VALUE “it takes alexander”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Alexander Hernandez “i probably go him”
WP We Want Picks picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE “i like Alexander Hernandez to win this fight he is my pick here”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Renato Moicano “i edge moycano to win this fight” $1.61
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Alexander Hernandez “i'm gonna take alexander hernandez to beat honato moykana” $2.50
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Renato Moicano VALUE “i'm on the Renato Moicano side” $1.59
WP We Want Picks picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE “i like alex hernandez to win this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Alexander Hernandez VALUE “so i like Alexander Hernandez hernandez here in the underdog spite his raw athleticism his raw power and i just hope hope that he doesn't pull a miles john's and he actually at least threatens with the wrestling at least threaten with it so moycano can't just settle into a striking rhythm so i like Alexander Hernandez hernandez the underdog here but we'll see what happens”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Moicano20-7-1
W Duncan Submission · R2 Apr '26
L Dariush Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Makhachev Submission · R1 Jan '25
W Denis KO/TKO · R2 Sep '24
W Turner KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
Hernandez18-8
L García Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Ferreira KO/TKO · R2 Sep '25
W Hooper KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Holobaugh Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Hubbard Decision · R3 Oct '24