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UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
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FN CG Ngannou vs GaneMain Card · Heavyweight DF BM Figueiredo vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight MP AF Pereira vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight SN CS Nurmagomedov vs StamannMain Card · Bantamweight MM TG Morales vs GilesMain Card · Welterweight VH RB Henry vs BarcelosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JM PR Maddalena vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Welterweight TG SO Gravely vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MF GV Frevola vs ValdézPreliminary Card · Lightweight VD SJ Demopoulos vs JuárezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JJ KH Jasudavicius vs HansenEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ngannou v Gane Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus14 picks · conf 35/99
Ngannou 5
9 Gane
MUWTM pick Ngannou
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ngannou 17-3 VS 13-2 Gane
height 6'4"
weight 248 lb
reach 81"
39 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.3 strikes landed / min 5.5
41% striking accuracy 60%
2.2 strikes absorbed / min 2.2
41% striking defence 63%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
62% takedown accuracy 21%
71% takedown defence 50%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Francis Ngannou VALUE “I'm going with Francis Ngannou in this one but as a betting person I'm scared I'm scared I'm a little scurred on this one I'm more confident on the heavyweight bet believe it or not that my co-main event that we put in place on Deiveson Figueiredo over Brandon Moreno”
WP We Want Picks picks Francis Ngannou VALUE “i like francis and gano to win this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Francis Ngannou VALUE “I even like Francis Ngannou in this EVENT_DETAILS but i still think it might be like a third fourth round or type of thing”
KU Kunath picks Ciryl Gane “i don't think you should play Ciryl Gane even if you think he's gonna win the fight the reason why i say that is because i expect him to come in at high ownership 40 to 60 percent ownership in most of your contests”
SH Sherdog.com picks Ciryl Gane VALUE “i have to say what i thinKay Hansen you Kay Hansennow that's what i do together i've taught that for the last few fights i thinKay Hansen he is the next level of heavyweight fighters and that that's how much i really really believe in him so i thinKay Hansen he can i thinKay Hansen he can weather the star of Francis Ngannou” $2.50
WP We Want Picks picks Francis Ngannou “i originally was going with Francis Ngannou to win”
WP We Want Picks picks Ciryl Gane “Ciryl Gane's my pick because of all the drama”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ciryl Gane VALUE “cyril Ciryl Gane i'm picking him to win i really like this guy um you know he's bring something to the table that most heavyweights don't and that's a combination of a lot of things and that's cardio that's footwork that's speed um you know he has some some grappling shops he has some wrestling as well i mean he just he's the full package here and i think he's the better overall fighter than Francis Ngannou”
HB Half The Battle picks Ciryl Gane “i don't see anyone touching him Francis Ngannou knocks out Ciryl Gane and i truly believe”
CS Calf Kick Sports picks Ciryl Gane VALUE “Ciryl Gane gone is the clear favorite in this fight unless and they could be working a game plan in the gym that we we haven't seen him fight we haven't seen him fight in that way before and that could be that could be very good he has a really good gym with eric knicks”
CS Calf Kick Sports picks Francis Ngannou “None”
SH Sherdog.com picks Ciryl Gane “i think cyril kanye will win i believe in him i believe in his style i believe in technique i believe in tactics and i think he'll win”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ngannou17-3
W Gane Decision · R5 Jan '22
W Miocic KO/TKO · R2 Mar '21
W Rozenstruik KO/TKO · R1 May '20
W Santos KO/TKO · R1 Jun '19
W Velasquez KO/TKO · R1 Feb '19
Gane13-2
W Pereira KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Volkov Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Spivac KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
L Jones Submission · R1 Mar '23
W Tuivasa KO/TKO · R3 Sep '22