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UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
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FN CG Ngannou vs GaneMain Card · Heavyweight DF BM Figueiredo vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight MP AF Pereira vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight SN CS Nurmagomedov vs StamannMain Card · Bantamweight MM TG Morales vs GilesMain Card · Welterweight VH RB Henry vs BarcelosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JM PR Maddalena vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Welterweight TG SO Gravely vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MF GV Frevola vs ValdézPreliminary Card · Lightweight VD SJ Demopoulos vs JuárezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JJ KH Jasudavicius vs HansenEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nurmagomedov v Stamann Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Nurmagomedov 5
2 Stamann
HMGUS pick Nurmagomedov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nurmagomedov 18-5 VS 21-8-1 Stamann
5'8" height 5'6"
136 lb weight 135 lb
70" reach 65"
34 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 4.3
47% striking accuracy 46%
2.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
57% striking defence 60%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.2
16% takedown accuracy 37%
66% takedown defence 76%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE “i'll go Said Nurmagomedov for the win” $1.55
WP We Want Picks picks Cody Stamann VALUE “i like cody to win this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE “i'd go more on hani and Said Nurmagomedov i think that's probably a more play as well”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE “i think nurmagomedov will be smart about his striking he'll use the range” $1.50
SH Sherdog.com picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE “i'm going for Said Nurmagomedov i'm going for a minus uh one it's weird it says minus 187 here uh mine around minus 190” $1.53
WP We Want Picks picks Cody Stamann VALUE “cody's the pick” $8.60
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Cody Stamann VALUE “live dogs ... cody stamen is one of them Cody Stamann 7600 i think this guy is going to be very popular and rightfully so i mean this is a close fight against Said Nurmagomedov and i think cody's statement can make this very close very competitive you know mixing the takedown so he has takedown upside control time upside i don't see him finishing their magameta but i could see him winning a wrestling-based decision so i don't hate it don't feel like overly confident about it but there aren't many dogs that i do like but cody stamen is one of them”
HB Half The Battle picks Said Nurmagomedov “i'm gonna go with saeed to to get it done here man unanimous decision” $1.50
SH Sherdog.com picks Said Nurmagomedov “i think he will be uh i think he'll get the win there”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE “i'll take saeed not mugger made of” $1.50
GP Greedo Plays picks Said Nurmagomedov “i'm gonna take saturn magma made up to be cody stamen in this fight how he gets it done i'm not exactly sure because statement does have a pretty solid [ __ ] on him so i think we're probably gonna go to the rock meta by decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE “i'm picking Said Nurmagomedov to win his striking is special” $1.54
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nurmagomedov18-5
L Mitchell Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Oliveira Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Gafurov Submission · R1 Oct '23
L Martinez Decision · R3 Mar '23
W Kakhramonov Submission · R2 Dec '22
Stamann21-8-1
L Blackshear Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Lapilus Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Andrade Decision · R3 May '23
W Lacerda Decision · R3 Jan '23
W Wineland KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22