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Ngannou vs GaneMain Card · Heavyweight
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Figueiredo vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight
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Pereira vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight
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Nurmagomedov vs StamannMain Card · Bantamweight
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Morales vs GilesMain Card · Welterweight
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Henry vs BarcelosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Demopoulos vs JuárezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Jasudavicius vs HansenEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
CG
Ngannou vs GaneMain Card · Heavyweight
DF
BM
Figueiredo vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight
MP
AF
Pereira vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight
SN
CS
Nurmagomedov vs StamannMain Card · Bantamweight
MM
TG
Morales vs GilesMain Card · Welterweight
VH
RB
Henry vs BarcelosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JM
PR
Maddalena vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Welterweight
TG
SO
Gravely vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MF
GV
Frevola vs ValdézPreliminary Card · Lightweight
VD
SJ
Demopoulos vs JuárezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
JJ
KH
Jasudavicius vs HansenEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pereira v Fialho
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pereira 32-14
VS
16-8 Fialho
6'1"
height
—
186 lb
weight
—
73"
reach
—
32
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.5
strikes landed / min
3.3
49%
striking accuracy
41%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
6.3
59%
striking defence
45%
1.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.2
59%
takedown accuracy
100%
59%
takedown defence
66%
1.9
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Michel Pereira VALUE
“i think michelle pejer to win”
SN
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Michel Pereira VALUE
“Michel Pereira wins this by decision”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Michel Pereira
“michelle perea is uh you know he's an incredible athlete as long as he's not uh you know necessarily dancing around you know the octagon or uh backflipping his way out or having some choreographed dance routine i think he's starting to move past that at this stage in his career realizing he can't do that as the competition rises here and uh he's going to be my pick”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Michel Pereira VALUE
“that will be my pick ilya taporia”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Michel Pereira VALUE
“I pick Michel Pereira and just squeeze it out”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Michel Pereira
“becerril becoming Raoni Barcelos Michel Pereira weather the story of us regarding my love”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pereira32-14
L
Magomedov
Jun '26
W
Reese
Feb '26
L
Daukaus
Aug '25
L
Magomedov
Apr '25
L
Hernandez
Oct '24
Fialho16-8
L
Means
Sep '23
L
Buckley
May '23
L
Salikhov
Nov '22
L
Matthews
Jun '22
W
VanCamp
May '22