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UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pereira v Fialho Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Pereira 7
1 Fialho
HMWWT pick Pereira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pereira 32-14 VS 16-8 Fialho
6'1" height —
186 lb weight —
73" reach —
32 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 3.3
49% striking accuracy 41%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 6.3
59% striking defence 45%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.2
59% takedown accuracy 100%
59% takedown defence 66%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Michel Pereira VALUE “i think michelle pejer to win”
SN SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Michel Pereira VALUE “Michel Pereira wins this by decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks André Fialho “fiallo is is definitely dangerous” $3.40
WP We Want Picks picks Michel Pereira VALUE “i think Michel Pereira is definitely the play” $10.10
HB Half The Battle picks Michel Pereira “my pick is deporia here” $1.15
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Michel Pereira “michelle perea is uh you know he's an incredible athlete as long as he's not uh you know necessarily dancing around you know the octagon or uh backflipping his way out or having some choreographed dance routine i think he's starting to move past that at this stage in his career realizing he can't do that as the competition rises here and uh he's going to be my pick”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Michel Pereira VALUE “that will be my pick ilya taporia”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Michel Pereira VALUE “I pick Michel Pereira and just squeeze it out”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Michel Pereira “becerril becoming Raoni Barcelos Michel Pereira weather the story of us regarding my love”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Michel Pereira VALUE “i'm going decision win for Michel Pereira” $1.36
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pereira32-14
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Reese Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Hernandez KO/TKO · R5 Oct '24
Fialho16-8
L Means KO/TKO · R3 Sep '23
L Buckley KO/TKO · R2 May '23
L Salikhov KO/TKO · R3 Nov '22
L Matthews KO/TKO · R2 Jun '22
W VanCamp KO/TKO · R1 May '22