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Figueiredo vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight
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Jasudavicius vs HansenEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Figueiredo vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight
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AF
Pereira vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight
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Nurmagomedov vs StamannMain Card · Bantamweight
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TG
Morales vs GilesMain Card · Welterweight
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RB
Henry vs BarcelosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JM
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Maddalena vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Gravely vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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GV
Frevola vs ValdézPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Demopoulos vs JuárezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Jasudavicius vs HansenEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Figueiredo v Moreno
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Figueiredo 25-6-1
VS
23-9-2 Moreno
5'5"
height
5'7"
138 lb
weight
125 lb
68"
reach
70"
38
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.2
strikes landed / min
4.0
44%
striking accuracy
43%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.5
46%
striking defence
60%
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
37%
takedown accuracy
46%
58%
takedown defence
64%
1.2
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Brandon Moreno
“I Brandon Moreno but I'm Brandon Moreno that wasn't like but the weight on Brandon Moreno's shoulders I is Brandon Moreno going to be able to just it leans on Brandon Moreno for Brandon Moreno maybe Brandon Moreno is the answer but if the second fight and Brandon Moreno won and the Brandon Moreno's last win yes very fans were going crazy and Brandon Moreno pure blood Mexican Champion Brandon Moreno Brandon Moreno trying to defend that belt good of people are going Brandon Moreno tomorrow I Brandon Moreno gonna sleep him says Ethan van e for Brandon Moreno so Brandon Moreno and still I see aren't tangling Brandon Moreno dominated the Brandon Moreno but fig also has a good shot so know you're picking Brandon Moreno yeah I mean Brandon Moreno's gonna win this one honestly”
The MMA-Holes picks Brandon Moreno
“I Brandon Moreno but I'm Brandon Moreno that wasn't like but the weight on Brandon Moreno's shoulders I is Brandon Moreno going to be able to just it leans on Brandon Moreno for Brandon Moreno maybe Brandon Moreno is the answer but if the second fight and Brandon Moreno won and the Brandon Moreno's last win yes very fans were going crazy and Brandon Moreno pure blood Mexican Champion Brandon Moreno Brandon Moreno trying to defend that belt good of people are going Brandon Moreno tomorrow I Brandon Moreno gonna sleep him says Ethan van e for Brandon Moreno so Brandon Moreno and still I see aren't tangling Brandon Moreno dominated the Brandon Moreno but fig also has a good shot so know you're picking Brandon Moreno yeah I mean Brandon Moreno's gonna win this one honestly”
CO
Covers picks Brandon Moreno
“i think he takes this one again”
Covers picks Brandon Moreno
“i think he takes this one again”
WP
We Want Picks picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE
“i personally like figure eight to win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE
“i personally like figure eight to win this fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“if you're not picking Brandon Moreno i don't know what you're gonna what you're doing”
We Want Picks picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“if you're not picking Brandon Moreno i don't know what you're gonna what you're doing”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Brandon Moreno
“i love taporia i got him for the win inside the distance”
$1.18
MMA EXPERTS picks Brandon Moreno
“i love taporia i got him for the win inside the distance”
$1.18
KU
Kunath picks Deiveson Figueiredo
“we're gonna stack the co-main event they're not stacking the main event just because if ngannou wins it's probably early it's probably fast but if gone wins it's probably a decision where he out points Francis Ngannou takes a very patient approach i could totally see that happening so i wouldn't recommend trying to stack the main event when you're playing cash but the co-main event this is perfect for stacking for cash you've got Brandon Moreno and Deiveson Figueiredo going at it”
Kunath picks Deiveson Figueiredo
“we're gonna stack the co-main event they're not stacking the main event just because if ngannou wins it's probably early it's probably fast but if gone wins it's probably a decision where he out points Francis Ngannou takes a very patient approach i could totally see that happening so i wouldn't recommend trying to stack the main event when you're playing cash but the co-main event this is perfect for stacking for cash you've got Brandon Moreno and Deiveson Figueiredo going at it”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE
“i'm going for Deiveson Figueiredo figure it out he's plus 145”
$2.45
Sherdog.com picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE
“i'm going for Deiveson Figueiredo figure it out he's plus 145”
$2.45
WP
We Want Picks picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“i'm gonna put money on him i like him to win this fight and just typical Brandon Moreno fashion i think he just toughs it out and finds a way to win”
We Want Picks picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“i'm gonna put money on him i like him to win this fight and just typical Brandon Moreno fashion i think he just toughs it out and finds a way to win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE
“so Deiveson Figueiredo is my pick but i will be watching weigh-ins very closely to see what he looks like”
We Want Picks picks Deiveson Figueiredo VALUE
“so Deiveson Figueiredo is my pick but i will be watching weigh-ins very closely to see what he looks like”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“Brandon Moreno 8500 so i'm gonna have a lot of both sides in this fight but Brandon Moreno what i like about him the most is the fact that he's so durable this is a guy in in five professional losses he's never been finished um you know he has what 27 professional fights never been finished i know he got finished in the ultimate fighter but still in this guy that's very durable submission defense on the point so i think at the very least with Brandon Moreno if this does go five rounds which i i'm kind of leaning towards it doing um i think he has a very safe floor and on top of that a Deiveson Figueiredo you know if he has a bad weight cut which i haven't seen the lands yet if he has a bad weight cut if you know the weight cut took something out of him like it did in the last fight um or if Deiveson Figueiredo's just on a decline i mean Deiveson Figueiredo's 34 years old at this point so he very well could be out of decline and it certainly looked like it in his last fight you know Brandon Moreno just i think the winner of this fight's gonna score very well it's hard to see Brandon Moreno 8500 Deiveson Figueiredo 7700 the winner not finding his way on the optimal lineup because in the first fight it was a draw i think with a Deiveson Figueiredo when he would have scored around 98 and then moraine i believe in his last fight scored around 98.99 so i think the winner is gonna score you know well in the 90s maybe the hundreds and find the optimal lineup so you know Brandon Moreno is definitely a core play of mine but i'm not going to completely count out Deiveson Figueiredo here”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“Brandon Moreno 8500 so i'm gonna have a lot of both sides in this fight but Brandon Moreno what i like about him the most is the fact that he's so durable this is a guy in in five professional losses he's never been finished um you know he has what 27 professional fights never been finished i know he got finished in the ultimate fighter but still in this guy that's very durable submission defense on the point so i think at the very least with Brandon Moreno if this does go five rounds which i i'm kind of leaning towards it doing um i think he has a very safe floor and on top of that a Deiveson Figueiredo you know if he has a bad weight cut which i haven't seen the lands yet if he has a bad weight cut if you know the weight cut took something out of him like it did in the last fight um or if Deiveson Figueiredo's just on a decline i mean Deiveson Figueiredo's 34 years old at this point so he very well could be out of decline and it certainly looked like it in his last fight you know Brandon Moreno just i think the winner of this fight's gonna score very well it's hard to see Brandon Moreno 8500 Deiveson Figueiredo 7700 the winner not finding his way on the optimal lineup because in the first fight it was a draw i think with a Deiveson Figueiredo when he would have scored around 98 and then moraine i believe in his last fight scored around 98.99 so i think the winner is gonna score you know well in the 90s maybe the hundreds and find the optimal lineup so you know Brandon Moreno is definitely a core play of mine but i'm not going to completely count out Deiveson Figueiredo here”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Deiveson Figueiredo
“i'm also taking Deiveson Figueiredo”
MMA JOEY picks Deiveson Figueiredo
“i'm also taking Deiveson Figueiredo”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Figueiredo25-6-1
L
Yadong
May '26
L
Nurmagomedov
Jan '26
W
Jackson
Oct '25
L
Sandhagen
May '25
L
Yan
Nov '24
Moreno23-9-2
L
Kavanagh
Feb '26
L
Taira
Dec '25
W
Erceg
Mar '25
W
Albazi
Nov '24
L
Royval
Feb '24