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Ngannou vs GaneMain Card · Heavyweight
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Pereira vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight
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Nurmagomedov vs StamannMain Card · Bantamweight
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Henry vs BarcelosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Gravely vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Jasudavicius vs HansenEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Ngannou vs GaneMain Card · Heavyweight
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Figueiredo vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight
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Pereira vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight
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Nurmagomedov vs StamannMain Card · Bantamweight
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Morales vs GilesMain Card · Welterweight
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Henry vs BarcelosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Maddalena vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Gravely vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Frevola vs ValdézPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Demopoulos vs JuárezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Jasudavicius vs HansenEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Gravely v Oliveira
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Gravely 23-9
VS
18-7 Oliveira
5'5"
height
5'4"
135 lb
weight
144 lb
69"
reach
72"
34
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.8
strikes landed / min
3.5
48%
striking accuracy
41%
4.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.7
44%
striking defence
48%
5.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.8
41%
takedown accuracy
64%
52%
takedown defence
72%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Tony Gravely VALUE
“i think he goes out there and gets it done and he probably does it by a decision”
$1.43
MMA EXPERTS picks Tony Gravely VALUE
“i think he goes out there and gets it done and he probably does it by a decision”
$1.43
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Saimon Oliveira VALUE
“i think gravely can go out there and win a decision”
$3.10
MMA EXPERTS picks Saimon Oliveira VALUE
“i think gravely can go out there and win a decision”
$3.10
KU
Kunath picks Tony Gravely VALUE
“i like Tony Gravely to win but Saimon Oliveira at 7 300 not a bad play if you want to take a shot down here and you need the relief”
Kunath picks Tony Gravely VALUE
“i like Tony Gravely to win but Saimon Oliveira at 7 300 not a bad play if you want to take a shot down here and you need the relief”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Tony Gravely
“i do thinKay Hansen he will win but i would that price not too sure of a very even fight in between Tony Gravely and Saimon Oliveira”
$1.42
Sherdog.com picks Tony Gravely
“i do thinKay Hansen he will win but i would that price not too sure of a very even fight in between Tony Gravely and Saimon Oliveira”
$1.42
WP
We Want Picks picks Tony Gravely VALUE
“i do think Tony Gravely will take him down and just smother him”
We Want Picks picks Tony Gravely VALUE
“i do think Tony Gravely will take him down and just smother him”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tony Gravely VALUE
“i like gravely quite a bit at 8 100 for a tournament play the reason i would not really i mean gosh cash is fine but the reason i would not feel completely safe with gravely is the fact that the dude's been finished like six times and five of those are coming by submission in Saimon Oliveira is a very good finisher so that's my only concern but i think if gravely wins it to pick score live dogs Cody Stamann 7600 i think this guy is going to be very popular and rightfully so i mean this is a close fight against Said Nurmagomedov and i think cody's statement can make this very close very competitive you know mixing the takedown so he has takedown upside control time upside i don't see him finishing their magameta but i could see him winning a wrestling-based decision so i don't hate it don't feel like overly confident about it but there aren't many dogs that i do like but cody stamen is one of them”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tony Gravely VALUE
“i like gravely quite a bit at 8 100 for a tournament play the reason i would not really i mean gosh cash is fine but the reason i would not feel completely safe with gravely is the fact that the dude's been finished like six times and five of those are coming by submission in Saimon Oliveira is a very good finisher so that's my only concern but i think if gravely wins it to pick score live dogs Cody Stamann 7600 i think this guy is going to be very popular and rightfully so i mean this is a close fight against Said Nurmagomedov and i think cody's statement can make this very close very competitive you know mixing the takedown so he has takedown upside control time upside i don't see him finishing their magameta but i could see him winning a wrestling-based decision so i don't hate it don't feel like overly confident about it but there aren't many dogs that i do like but cody stamen is one of them”
HB
Half The Battle picks Saimon Oliveira VALUE
“i'm going Saimon Oliveira to get an opportunistic finish”
$3.05
Half The Battle picks Saimon Oliveira VALUE
“i'm going Saimon Oliveira to get an opportunistic finish”
$3.05
AM
Artem MMA picks Tony Gravely
“i'm gonna go with gravely in this one i know i've just been picking favorites all all night long but um i've gotta go with greville i think he's gonna get the job done”
Artem MMA picks Tony Gravely
“i'm gonna go with gravely in this one i know i've just been picking favorites all all night long but um i've gotta go with greville i think he's gonna get the job done”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Tony Gravely
“Tony Gravely will be my pick”
Walk The Line MMA picks Tony Gravely
“Tony Gravely will be my pick”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Saimon Oliveira
“Saimon Oliveira with tamares free official Screen Award for best seller to buyer play or merge array of orta Damage”
MMA JOEY picks Saimon Oliveira
“Saimon Oliveira with tamares free official Screen Award for best seller to buyer play or merge array of orta Damage”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Tony Gravely VALUE
“I gotta go with Tony Gravely here i think the power is a real difference maker”
$1.43
MMA EXPERTS picks Tony Gravely VALUE
“I gotta go with Tony Gravely here i think the power is a real difference maker”
$1.43
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Gravely23-9
L
Henry
Mar '23
L
Basharat
Sep '22
W
Muñoz Jr.
Jun '22
W
Oliveira
Jan '22
L
Maness
Sep '21
Oliveira18-7
L
Lacerda
Oct '25
L
Martínez
Mar '25
L
Marcos
Jan '23
L
Gravely
Jan '22