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Morales vs GilesMain Card · Welterweight
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Ngannou vs GaneMain Card · Heavyweight
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Figueiredo vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight
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Pereira vs FialhoMain Card · Welterweight
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Nurmagomedov vs StamannMain Card · Bantamweight
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Morales vs GilesMain Card · Welterweight
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Henry vs BarcelosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Maddalena vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Gravely vs OliveiraPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Frevola vs ValdézPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Demopoulos vs JuárezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Jasudavicius vs HansenEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Morales v Giles
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Morales 18-0
VS
16-7 Giles
6'0"
height
6'0"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
79"
reach
74"
27
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.4
strikes landed / min
3.2
48%
striking accuracy
54%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
2.4
52%
striking defence
58%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
41%
takedown accuracy
50%
92%
takedown defence
72%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Michael Morales VALUE
“my pick is michael”
We Want Picks picks Michael Morales VALUE
“my pick is michael”
SN
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Michael Morales VALUE
“he's a finisher he's got a lot of power in his hands”
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Michael Morales VALUE
“he's a finisher he's got a lot of power in his hands”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Michael Morales VALUE
“i think Michael Morales gets it done as well i'm with you man decision”
$1.80
MMA EXPERTS picks Michael Morales VALUE
“i think Michael Morales gets it done as well i'm with you man decision”
$1.80
KU
Kunath picks Michael Morales
“i personally don't think that this is a great spot for him and take it from me i'm not a big trevin giles guy i don't know who is a big Trevin Giles guy but i'm not one of them but i have been watching mma long enough to know that times like this come around every so often where you have somebody who's young a little sprinkle of hype coming in normally doesn't have any losses or very few and then they fight some old veteran who teaches them a lesson”
Kunath picks Michael Morales
“i personally don't think that this is a great spot for him and take it from me i'm not a big trevin giles guy i don't know who is a big Trevin Giles guy but i'm not one of them but i have been watching mma long enough to know that times like this come around every so often where you have somebody who's young a little sprinkle of hype coming in normally doesn't have any losses or very few and then they fight some old veteran who teaches them a lesson”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Michael Morales
“a very even fight in between Michael Morales and Trevin Giles um minus 130 to minus one ten there are sorry plus one ten trevor joyce plus one ten minus one thirty Michael Morales”
$1.77
Sherdog.com picks Michael Morales
“a very even fight in between Michael Morales and Trevin Giles um minus 130 to minus one ten there are sorry plus one ten trevor joyce plus one ten minus one thirty Michael Morales”
$1.77
WP
We Want Picks picks Michael Morales VALUE
“i like Michael Morales to win the fight”
We Want Picks picks Michael Morales VALUE
“i like Michael Morales to win the fight”
HB
Half The Battle picks Michael Morales
“i'm gonna go with uh Michael Morales here and uh no bet just just a straight pick”
$1.87
Half The Battle picks Michael Morales
“i'm gonna go with uh Michael Morales here and uh no bet just just a straight pick”
$1.87
AM
Artem MMA picks Trevin Giles VALUE
“i'm going to go with Trevin Giles just to get the pic out of the way”
Artem MMA picks Trevin Giles VALUE
“i'm going to go with Trevin Giles just to get the pic out of the way”
AM
Artem MMA picks Trevin Giles VALUE
“i'm going with Trevin Giles uh just to get the pick out of the way”
Artem MMA picks Trevin Giles VALUE
“i'm going with Trevin Giles uh just to get the pick out of the way”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Michael Morales
“i'm gonna take michael morales to win this fight i'm going to i think you're gonna see a stand-up fight for the most part i think you might see morales you know shooting in for a takedown every once in a while but i think for the most part you're gonna see a striking fight i think it's a pure toss-up on the feet ... i think morales is going to come in here i think he's going to pick up his first ufc win i think we'll see a very close fight i'm going to go michael morales to beat trevin jones who get it done by decision”
Greedo Plays picks Michael Morales
“i'm gonna take michael morales to win this fight i'm going to i think you're gonna see a stand-up fight for the most part i think you might see morales you know shooting in for a takedown every once in a while but i think for the most part you're gonna see a striking fight i think it's a pure toss-up on the feet ... i think morales is going to come in here i think he's going to pick up his first ufc win i think we'll see a very close fight i'm going to go michael morales to beat trevin jones who get it done by decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Morales18-0
W
Brady
Nov '25
W
Burns
May '25
W
Magny
Aug '24
W
Matthews
Nov '23
W
Griffin
Jul '23
Giles16-7
L
Malott
Nov '24
L
Prates
Feb '24
L
Bonfim
Jul '23
W
Parsons
Mar '23
W
Cosce
Sep '22