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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Della Maddalena v Rodriguez Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Della Maddalena 5
1 Rodriguez
HMSAK pick Della Maddalena
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Della Maddalena 18-3 VS 5-2 Rodriguez
5'11" height 5'9"
170 lb weight 170 lb
73" reach 71"
29 age 29
Switch stance Switch
6.7 strikes landed / min 9.3
53% striking accuracy 43%
4.3 strikes absorbed / min 12.8
66% striking defence 42%
0.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
16% takedown accuracy 0%
70% takedown defence 100%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jack Della Maddalena “i think second-round knockout from madalina” $1.31
KU Kunath picks Jack Della Maddalena “i think targeting this side makes a ton of sense now if we take a look at some value options at 8 000 and below you've got Trevin Giles he's a veteran right he's making his debut at 170 where he should match up physically pretty well and he's fighting Michael Morales who's making his ufc debut he's undefeated but he's also rather untested and i personally don't think that this is a great spot for him”
KU Kunath picks Pete Rodriguez VALUE “Pete Rodriguez looks like a better play in my opinion if you're targeting this fight i think targeting this side makes a ton of sense”
SH Sherdog.com picks Jack Della Maddalena VALUE “had alfa vieira minus 210 against wellington tourman plus 180” $1.48
WP We Want Picks picks Pete Rodriguez VALUE “i'm going to pick Pete Rodriguez money on Pete Rodriguez because i think Jack Della Maddalena should win the fight he is a better fighter but if i'm making pics right now you know i think Pete Rodriguez pulls it out”
HB Half The Battle picks Jack Della Maddalena “i'm gonna go with jack daley to finish him i'm gonna say in the first round” $1.30
AM Artem MMA picks Jack Della Maddalena “i think we're just going to see jack della madeline win this fight i do actually think um he's going to outlast Pete Rodriguez”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Della Maddalena18-3
L Prates KO/TKO · R3 May '26
L Makhachev Decision · R5 Nov '25
W Muhammad Decision · R5 May '25
W Burns KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24
W Holland Decision · R3 Sep '23
Rodriguez5-2
L Gorimbo KO/TKO · R1 Feb '24
W Jackson KO/TKO · R1 Oct '22
L Maddalena KO/TKO · R1 Jan '22