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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Fiziev v Riddell Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Fiziev 3
2 Riddell
MUW pick Fiziev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Fiziev 13-5 VS 10-4 Riddell
5'8" height 5'7"
155 lb weight 155 lb
71" reach 71"
33 age 34
Switch stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 4.7
51% striking accuracy 53%
5.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
49% striking defence 53%
0.3 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
40% takedown accuracy 36%
89% takedown defence 63%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Brad Riddell VALUE “i'll pick Brad Riddell win by a decision” $2.05
WP We Want Picks picks Rafael Fiziev “i picked fizz i have to win”
WP We Want Picks picks Brad Riddell “i have Rafael Fiziev winning this fight i don't think he's going to knock out Brad Riddell but i do think Brad Riddell could potentially stop Rafael Fiziev”
WP We Want Picks picks Rafael Fiziev “i gotta go with Rafael Fiziev”
WP We Want Picks picks Brad Riddell VALUE “i'll go with riddell”
WP We Want Picks picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE “i like raphael fizzaf he will be in my lineup” $84.00
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Rafael Fiziev “it takes raphael Rafael Fiziev”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE “i'm on vandara we're going with him”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brad Riddell VALUE “i'm going to side with Brad Riddell here i think he's going to have the volume advantage”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Rafael Fiziev “my pick raphael physique” $1.91
MJ MMA JOEY picks Rafael Fiziev “i am going raphael Rafael Fiziev 2928 decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Brad Riddell “i'm going Brad Riddell i think he gets a hard-fought win i think Brad Riddell decision potentially split decision” $1.97
Recent form last five, most recent first
Fiziev13-5
W Torres KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Ruffy KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Bahamondes Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Gaethje Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Gamrot KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
Riddell10-4
L Moicano Submission · R1 Nov '22
L Turner Submission · R1 Jul '22
L Fiziev KO/TKO · R3 Dec '21
W Dober Decision · R3 Jun '21
W Coelho Decision · R3 Sep '20