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Puelles vs GruetzemacherPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Aldo vs FontMain Card · Bantamweight
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Fiziev vs RiddellMain Card · Lightweight
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Hill vs CruteMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Guida vs SantosMain Card · Lightweight
CC
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Curtis vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight
AM
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Morono vs GallMain Card · Welterweight
DT
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Todorović vs PitoloPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MK
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Kape vs ZhumagulovPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BB
DW
Barberena vs WeeksPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CV
MM
Vlismas vs MartinPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
WK
AM
Knight vs MenifieldPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CP
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Puelles vs GruetzemacherPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Morales vs SmolkaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Puelles v Gruetzemacher
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Puelles 13-5
VS
15-5 Gruetzemacher
5'10"
height
5'8"
156 lb
weight
156 lb
72"
reach
68"
30
age
40
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.2
strikes landed / min
6.2
57%
striking accuracy
57%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
5.0
53%
striking defence
52%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.2
38%
takedown accuracy
50%
89%
takedown defence
65%
1.4
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Claudio Puelles VALUE
“in this fight i think Claudio Puelles wins Claudio Puelles is my pick”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Claudio Puelles VALUE
“i'm gonna take claudio and the alien does too”
$1.91
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Claudio Puelles VALUE
“i think the path to victory is so much more clear here than silva”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Claudio Puelles
“i'm going to go claudio paulus to be chris i think he wins it by decision”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Claudio Puelles VALUE
“i am going to go with Claudio Puelles”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Chris Gruetzemacher
“i think grits can get it done i'm going with Chris Gruetzemacher grits grootsmocker i think he gets it done”
$1.87
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Puelles13-5
L
Silva
Sep '25
L
Ziam
Feb '24
L
Hooker
Nov '22
W
Guida
Apr '22
W
Gruetzemacher
Dec '21
Gruetzemacher15-5
L
Puelles
Dec '21
W
García
Jul '21
L
Hernandez
Oct '20
W
Lauzon
Apr '18
L
Ramos
Dec '17