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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Curtis v Allen
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
pick Curtis
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Curtis 32-12
VS
26-7 Allen
5'10"
height
6'2"
170 lb
weight
186 lb
76"
reach
75"
38
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.8
strikes landed / min
5.9
51%
striking accuracy
36%
6.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.5
52%
striking defence
53%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
0%
takedown accuracy
62%
82%
takedown defence
53%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“if allen comes out here and he wrestles i think he more often than not pays off that 9600 price tag”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“if allen comes out here and he wrestles i think he more often than not pays off that 9600 price tag”
WP
We Want Picks picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“this feels exactly i mean we just talked about the last fight this feels like the phil hall's Chris Curtis fight right it was an easy path to victory but you see you i'm glad you mentioned that last fight that anthony smith fight he was just getting eaten alive by anthony smith's jab just a jab just absolutely just beaten every single jab was hit him straight in the face no head movement if he comes in even in the first minute and tries to do it against Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hill is a a really really good boxer i think he even called himself you know the best boxing ufc a lot of people are saying that but he is actually a very very slick boxer and the thing that interests me the most about this fight is against paul craig i think paul craig was a short notice fight so that that kind of plays a factor but paul craig it was a it was a grappler versus striker uh Jamahal Hill in that fight was a 200 favorite in that fight so people really didn't even care about the paul craig's ability obviously he ended up getting he didn't even get taken down paul craig actually pulled guard and Jamahal Hill for whatever reason jumps into his garden and you know he got out of the arm bar once but then like dan said didn't really know what was going on down there um so Jimmy Crute if you want to wrestle you can easily win this fight if you want to strike you're probably gonna get tko or knocked out you're gonna get pissed up for sure because uh Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hillary's a no joke on the feet uh he calls himself the best box i don't think he's probably the best best boxer but he's very very good with his hands he's slick with it too so um you know wrestle jimmy and you'll get the win just like dan said”
We Want Picks picks Chris Curtis VALUE
“this feels exactly i mean we just talked about the last fight this feels like the phil hall's Chris Curtis fight right it was an easy path to victory but you see you i'm glad you mentioned that last fight that anthony smith fight he was just getting eaten alive by anthony smith's jab just a jab just absolutely just beaten every single jab was hit him straight in the face no head movement if he comes in even in the first minute and tries to do it against Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hill is a a really really good boxer i think he even called himself you know the best boxing ufc a lot of people are saying that but he is actually a very very slick boxer and the thing that interests me the most about this fight is against paul craig i think paul craig was a short notice fight so that that kind of plays a factor but paul craig it was a it was a grappler versus striker uh Jamahal Hill in that fight was a 200 favorite in that fight so people really didn't even care about the paul craig's ability obviously he ended up getting he didn't even get taken down paul craig actually pulled guard and Jamahal Hill for whatever reason jumps into his garden and you know he got out of the arm bar once but then like dan said didn't really know what was going on down there um so Jimmy Crute if you want to wrestle you can easily win this fight if you want to strike you're probably gonna get tko or knocked out you're gonna get pissed up for sure because uh Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hillary's a no joke on the feet uh he calls himself the best box i don't think he's probably the best best boxer but he's very very good with his hands he's slick with it too so um you know wrestle jimmy and you'll get the win just like dan said”
WP
We Want Picks picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“so if Jimmy Crute and Brendan Allen can be in the same locker room and just like make a pact that they're going to wrestle this fight we're good they're both going to win um yeah Jimmy Crutes path is is wrestling uh Jamahal Hill you know i bet against him a couple times i got burnt against osp i was just i mean watching that fight was just the most frustrating thing in the world but the weird thing about Jimmy Crute is well i mean every one of every one of his last five fights have ended in the first round right he either wins or loses in the first round um and i think you said he's got five takedowns per fight average river but if you look at it the king's got eight a couple fights ago then he's got none against bukosucus because he got a knockout and then his last fight against smith he tried striking a little bit and that's when his leg got jacked up and he you know he still got three takedowns but it was kind of too little too late he was already hurt but i mean again like you said the path here is take downs Jamahal Hill good striker not a lot of you know he's a chris striker but he doesn't have a lot of power and when uh craig took him down it was like they were drilling almost he snatched his arm and and Jamahal Hill didn't know what to do like he got almost plotted swept armbard got basically knocked out from an armbar position so i think there's just going to be a big disadvantage for Jamahal Hill on the ground if Jimmy Crute wrestles he should get an easy he should get him to the ground easy and get a submission so i think he's worth the 9200 i think he's gonna get a sub if he fights smart uh just uh don't do what you did against uh anthony smith and go out there trying to strike we know you're good you know you're tough but easy path wrestling and jiu jitsu uh dan and i on the same page what about you jakey boy uh i 100 agree with what dan was saying this feels exactly i mean we just talked about the last fight this feels like the phil hall's Chris Curtis fight right it was an easy path to victory but you see you i'm glad you mentioned that last fight that anthony smith fight he was just getting eaten alive by anthony smith's jab just a jab just absolutely just beaten every single jab was hit him straight in the face no head movement if he comes in even in the first minute and tries to do it against Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hill is a a really really good boxer i think he even called himself you know the best boxing ufc a lot of people are saying that but he is actually a very very slick boxer and the thing that interests me the most about this fight is against paul craig i think paul craig was a short notice fight so that that kind of plays a factor but paul craig it was a it was a grappler versus striker uh Jamahal Hill in that fight was a 200 favorite in that fight so people really didn't even care about the paul craig's ability obviously he ended up getting he didn't even get taken down paul craig actually pulled guard and Jamahal Hill for whatever reason jumps into his garden and you know he got out of the arm bar once but then like dan said didn't really know what was going on down there um so Jimmy Crute if you want to wrestle you can easily win this fight if you want to strike you're probably gonna get tko or knocked out you're gonna get pissed up for sure because uh Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hillary's a no joke on the feet uh he calls himself the best box i don't think he's probably the best best boxer but he's very very good with his hands he's slick with it too so um you know wrestle jimmy and you'll get the win just like dan said”
We Want Picks picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“so if Jimmy Crute and Brendan Allen can be in the same locker room and just like make a pact that they're going to wrestle this fight we're good they're both going to win um yeah Jimmy Crutes path is is wrestling uh Jamahal Hill you know i bet against him a couple times i got burnt against osp i was just i mean watching that fight was just the most frustrating thing in the world but the weird thing about Jimmy Crute is well i mean every one of every one of his last five fights have ended in the first round right he either wins or loses in the first round um and i think you said he's got five takedowns per fight average river but if you look at it the king's got eight a couple fights ago then he's got none against bukosucus because he got a knockout and then his last fight against smith he tried striking a little bit and that's when his leg got jacked up and he you know he still got three takedowns but it was kind of too little too late he was already hurt but i mean again like you said the path here is take downs Jamahal Hill good striker not a lot of you know he's a chris striker but he doesn't have a lot of power and when uh craig took him down it was like they were drilling almost he snatched his arm and and Jamahal Hill didn't know what to do like he got almost plotted swept armbard got basically knocked out from an armbar position so i think there's just going to be a big disadvantage for Jamahal Hill on the ground if Jimmy Crute wrestles he should get an easy he should get him to the ground easy and get a submission so i think he's worth the 9200 i think he's gonna get a sub if he fights smart uh just uh don't do what you did against uh anthony smith and go out there trying to strike we know you're good you know you're tough but easy path wrestling and jiu jitsu uh dan and i on the same page what about you jakey boy uh i 100 agree with what dan was saying this feels exactly i mean we just talked about the last fight this feels like the phil hall's Chris Curtis fight right it was an easy path to victory but you see you i'm glad you mentioned that last fight that anthony smith fight he was just getting eaten alive by anthony smith's jab just a jab just absolutely just beaten every single jab was hit him straight in the face no head movement if he comes in even in the first minute and tries to do it against Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hill is a a really really good boxer i think he even called himself you know the best boxing ufc a lot of people are saying that but he is actually a very very slick boxer and the thing that interests me the most about this fight is against paul craig i think paul craig was a short notice fight so that that kind of plays a factor but paul craig it was a it was a grappler versus striker uh Jamahal Hill in that fight was a 200 favorite in that fight so people really didn't even care about the paul craig's ability obviously he ended up getting he didn't even get taken down paul craig actually pulled guard and Jamahal Hill for whatever reason jumps into his garden and you know he got out of the arm bar once but then like dan said didn't really know what was going on down there um so Jimmy Crute if you want to wrestle you can easily win this fight if you want to strike you're probably gonna get tko or knocked out you're gonna get pissed up for sure because uh Jamahal Hill Jamahal Hillary's a no joke on the feet uh he calls himself the best box i don't think he's probably the best best boxer but he's very very good with his hands he's slick with it too so um you know wrestle jimmy and you'll get the win just like dan said”
WP
We Want Picks picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“i've got Brendan Allen winning”
We Want Picks picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“i've got Brendan Allen winning”
WP
We Want Picks picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“Brendan Allen's the pick there's no two ways about i think Brendan Allen can now strike him and i think brendan allen can certainly help grapple him”
We Want Picks picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“Brendan Allen's the pick there's no two ways about i think Brendan Allen can now strike him and i think brendan allen can certainly help grapple him”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Curtis32-12
L
Orolbai
Mar '26
W
Griffin
Jul '25
L
Kopylov
Jan '25
L
Allen
Apr '24
W
Barriault
Jan '24
Allen26-7
W
Shahbazyan
Jun '26
W
Ridder
Oct '25
W
Vettori
Jul '25
L
Hernandez
Feb '25
L
Imavov
Sep '24