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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Guida v Santos Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Guida 3
3 Santos
GUS pick Guida
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Guida 38-21 VS 18-7-1 Santos
5'7" height 6'0"
155 lb weight 156 lb
70" reach 75"
44 age 46
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.6 strikes landed / min 2.8
33% striking accuracy 46%
3.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
61% striking defence 54%
3.1 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
36% takedown accuracy 25%
67% takedown defence 86%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Leonardo Santos “i think Leonardo Santos wins this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Clay Guida VALUE “i like quick guida to win this fight” $75.00
WP We Want Picks picks Leonardo Santos VALUE “so i like Leonardo Santos to win i think this is a straight up pick” $89.00
WP We Want Picks picks Leonardo Santos VALUE “i do think leonardo santos can get it done” $77.00
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Leonardo Santos “it takes Leonardo Santos”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Leonardo Santos VALUE “i'm going to go with grits mocker here”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Clay Guida VALUE “that's why i'm picking him to win the fight” $1.43
SD Santino DeFranco picks Clay Guida VALUE “i think azamat wins this i think his speed his power is going to be too much vander is not going to finish him early and he's going to gas out”
GP Greedo Plays picks Clay Guida “give me Clay Guida yeah i think you're gonna see one of those fights in the feet i think it's gonna be volume”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Clay Guida VALUE “i'm gonna side with Clay Guida” $2.50
WP We Want Picks picks Clay Guida VALUE “i flipped my pick i'm going alonzo”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Leonardo Santos “i like Leonardo Santos here i think Leonardo Santos win by a decision here is a pretty realistic outcome but i am going Leonardo Santos for the win” $1.57
Recent form last five, most recent first
Guida38-21
L Hooper Submission · R1 Dec '24
L Silva Decision · R3 Dec '23
L García Decision · R3 Apr '23
W Holtzman Decision · R3 Dec '22
L Puelles Submission · R1 Apr '22
Santos18-7-1
L Gordon Decision · R3 Aug '22
L Guida Submission · R2 Dec '21
L Dawson KO/TKO · R3 Mar '21
W Bogatov Decision · R3 Jul '20
W Ray KO/TKO · R1 Jun '19