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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Hill v Crute
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Hill 12-2
VS
14-4-2 Crute
6'4"
height
6'2"
206 lb
weight
205 lb
79"
reach
74"
35
age
30
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
7.2
strikes landed / min
3.9
54%
striking accuracy
53%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
46%
striking defence
70%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.7
0%
takedown accuracy
73%
73%
takedown defence
76%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“Jamahal Hill at 7 000 is probably you know way too cheap for a fight like this”
$71.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“Jamahal Hill at 7 000 is probably you know way too cheap for a fight like this”
$71.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jimmy Crute VALUE
“a fight that i'm going to be very high on with Jimmy Crute who has 9 uh Jamahal Hill who is seven thousand i think the winner of this fight's gonna score really well i think whether it's Jimmy Crute going out there getting multiple takedowns”
$1.31
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jimmy Crute VALUE
“a fight that i'm going to be very high on with Jimmy Crute who has 9 uh Jamahal Hill who is seven thousand i think the winner of this fight's gonna score really well i think whether it's Jimmy Crute going out there getting multiple takedowns”
$1.31
WP
We Want Picks picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“i do have a bet on him to win inside the distance”
We Want Picks picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“i do have a bet on him to win inside the distance”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jimmy Crute VALUE
“i think Jimmy Crute will end up with a couple of takedowns and a stoppage”
$93.00
We Want Picks picks Jimmy Crute VALUE
“i think Jimmy Crute will end up with a couple of takedowns and a stoppage”
$93.00
WP
We Want Picks picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“i like Jamahal Hill slightly croot should dominate”
We Want Picks picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“i like Jamahal Hill slightly croot should dominate”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jimmy Crute VALUE
“i have Jimmy Crute winning this fight but i think it'll take him a little longer”
We Want Picks picks Jimmy Crute VALUE
“i have Jimmy Crute winning this fight but i think it'll take him a little longer”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jimmy Crute VALUE
“i like jimmy to win i see a good amount of takedowns here so i actually like the 9 200 bucks danny boy what are your thoughts here so if Jimmy Crute and Brendan Allen can be in the same locker room and just like make a pact that they're going to wrestle this fight we're good they're both going to win um yeah Jimmy Crutes path is is wrestling uh Jamahal Hill you know i bet against him a couple times i got burnt against osp i was just i mean watching that fight was just the most frustrating thing in the world but the weird thing about Jimmy Crute is well i mean every one of every one of his last five fights have ended in the first round right he either wins or loses in the first round um and i think you said he's got five takedowns per fight average river but if you look at it the king's got eight a couple fights ago then he's got none against bukosucus because he got a knockout and then his last fight against smith he tried striking a little bit and that's when his leg got jacked up and he you know he still got three takedowns but it was kind of too little too late he was already hurt but i mean again like you said the path here is take downs Jamahal Hill good striker not a lot of you know he's a chris striker but he doesn't have a lot of power and when uh craig took him down it was like they were drilling almost he snatched his arm and and Jamahal Hill didn't know what to do like he got almost plotted swept armbard got basically knocked out from an armbar position so i think there's just going to be a big disadvantage for Jamahal Hill on the ground if Jimmy Crute wrestles he should get an easy he should get him to the ground easy and get a submission so i think he's worth the 9200 i think he's gonna get a sub if he fights smart uh just uh don't do what you did against uh anthony smith and go out there trying to strike we know you're good you know you're tough but easy path wrestling and jiu jitsu uh dan and i on the same page what about you jakey boy uh i 100 agree with what dan was saying”
$10.20
We Want Picks picks Jimmy Crute VALUE
“i like jimmy to win i see a good amount of takedowns here so i actually like the 9 200 bucks danny boy what are your thoughts here so if Jimmy Crute and Brendan Allen can be in the same locker room and just like make a pact that they're going to wrestle this fight we're good they're both going to win um yeah Jimmy Crutes path is is wrestling uh Jamahal Hill you know i bet against him a couple times i got burnt against osp i was just i mean watching that fight was just the most frustrating thing in the world but the weird thing about Jimmy Crute is well i mean every one of every one of his last five fights have ended in the first round right he either wins or loses in the first round um and i think you said he's got five takedowns per fight average river but if you look at it the king's got eight a couple fights ago then he's got none against bukosucus because he got a knockout and then his last fight against smith he tried striking a little bit and that's when his leg got jacked up and he you know he still got three takedowns but it was kind of too little too late he was already hurt but i mean again like you said the path here is take downs Jamahal Hill good striker not a lot of you know he's a chris striker but he doesn't have a lot of power and when uh craig took him down it was like they were drilling almost he snatched his arm and and Jamahal Hill didn't know what to do like he got almost plotted swept armbard got basically knocked out from an armbar position so i think there's just going to be a big disadvantage for Jamahal Hill on the ground if Jimmy Crute wrestles he should get an easy he should get him to the ground easy and get a submission so i think he's worth the 9200 i think he's gonna get a sub if he fights smart uh just uh don't do what you did against uh anthony smith and go out there trying to strike we know you're good you know you're tough but easy path wrestling and jiu jitsu uh dan and i on the same page what about you jakey boy uh i 100 agree with what dan was saying”
$10.20
WP
We Want Picks picks Jamahal Hill
“i'm actually picking uh uh i was gonna pick Jamahal Hill in this fight i'll go with Jamahal Hill in this fight i do have a question for you guys because his stance he kind of has one of those wide stances it's a lot of boxers have like those the short stance you know the high uh but his is a little bit wider i think is that going to be easier for jimmy to get those takedowns with those wide stance or is that going to allow Jamahal Hill to kind of move in and out from those takedown attempts single legs there and it's all about your hips that you know if you you don't have the right hips to defend takedowns the stance is you know the wide stance is going to leave a single leg right like glovers glover's got that signal like that snatch single so that'll leave that open but i don't even think it matters if you don't have the hips you're going to get taken down no matter what stance you have yeah no what do you think angela you're the you're the wrestler yeah that's what i was gonna say like you have nice wide base you're not going to shoot a double with your arms way out here so it's a single you just run the pipe put them on his butt and that's the end of that um so i like uh jimmy my lineup i i have a bet here and i wasn't gonna say it because i felt stupid you know the breakdown here i have one unit on the over one and a half on rounds i actually think this will go a little bit i see jimmy getting the takedown you know but it may take him a little while to get into that takedown because Jamahal Hill does have that volume and i think he'll just smack up jimmy's face a little bit before jimmy just says screw it eats it and commits to a takedown so i like the over one and a half rounds but dan you made it sound like there's no way this gets out of the first round so that that bet has me a little nervous but i do have a full unit there and then you know what one and a half rounds i like that i like that a lot because even if Jamahal Hill gets taken down you saw how tough he is right he dislocated his arm and it's still it's flopping around he's getting elbowed in the head he's trying to like he's trying to throw punches over the top still so he's he's tough as hell and and he's not like you say he's not a ko artist either so i might ride that bet with you”
We Want Picks picks Jamahal Hill
“i'm actually picking uh uh i was gonna pick Jamahal Hill in this fight i'll go with Jamahal Hill in this fight i do have a question for you guys because his stance he kind of has one of those wide stances it's a lot of boxers have like those the short stance you know the high uh but his is a little bit wider i think is that going to be easier for jimmy to get those takedowns with those wide stance or is that going to allow Jamahal Hill to kind of move in and out from those takedown attempts single legs there and it's all about your hips that you know if you you don't have the right hips to defend takedowns the stance is you know the wide stance is going to leave a single leg right like glovers glover's got that signal like that snatch single so that'll leave that open but i don't even think it matters if you don't have the hips you're going to get taken down no matter what stance you have yeah no what do you think angela you're the you're the wrestler yeah that's what i was gonna say like you have nice wide base you're not going to shoot a double with your arms way out here so it's a single you just run the pipe put them on his butt and that's the end of that um so i like uh jimmy my lineup i i have a bet here and i wasn't gonna say it because i felt stupid you know the breakdown here i have one unit on the over one and a half on rounds i actually think this will go a little bit i see jimmy getting the takedown you know but it may take him a little while to get into that takedown because Jamahal Hill does have that volume and i think he'll just smack up jimmy's face a little bit before jimmy just says screw it eats it and commits to a takedown so i like the over one and a half rounds but dan you made it sound like there's no way this gets out of the first round so that that bet has me a little nervous but i do have a full unit there and then you know what one and a half rounds i like that i like that a lot because even if Jamahal Hill gets taken down you saw how tough he is right he dislocated his arm and it's still it's flopping around he's getting elbowed in the head he's trying to like he's trying to throw punches over the top still so he's he's tough as hell and and he's not like you say he's not a ko artist either so i might ride that bet with you”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jimmy Crute
“it takes Jimmy Crute”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jimmy Crute
“it takes Jimmy Crute”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Jimmy Crute
“i really like Jimmy Crute to beat Jamahal Hill i'll go the safe pick decision win for Jimmy Crute”
Greedo Plays picks Jimmy Crute
“i really like Jimmy Crute to beat Jamahal Hill i'll go the safe pick decision win for Jimmy Crute”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hill12-2
L
Jr.
Jun '25
L
Procházka
Jan '25
L
Pereira
Apr '24
W
Teixeira
Jan '23
W
Santos
Aug '22
Crute14-4-2
W
Erslan
Sep '25
W
Prachnio
Jul '25
L
Menifield
Jul '23
L
Hill
Dec '21
L
Smith
Apr '21