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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Todorović v Pitolo Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Todorović 4
3 Pitolo
TMUW pick Todorović
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Todorović 13-6 VS 13-9 Pitolo
6'1" height —
186 lb weight —
74" reach —
32 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 4.1
65% striking accuracy 44%
2.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
47% striking defence 55%
2.6 takedowns / 15 min 2.2
51% takedown accuracy 52%
82% takedown defence 50%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Duško Todorović VALUE “i expect Duško Todorović to win by a close decision” $1.67
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Maki Pitolo VALUE “i actually really like the spot from Maki Pitolo at 7600 i think he's one of the more intriguing dogs on the slate so i'll be more so on him”
WP We Want Picks picks Duško Todorović VALUE “i actually think he's gonna sub potoli”
WP We Want Picks picks Maki Pitolo VALUE “i like him”
WP We Want Picks picks Maki Pitolo VALUE “i think monkey wins this fight”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Duško Todorović VALUE “it takes dusko to durovic at plus 200 too”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Duško Todorović VALUE “i'm going to roll with the dog here i'm going to take zalgus” $3.00
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Maki Pitolo VALUE “i like dusko there” $1.57
SD Santino DeFranco picks Maki Pitolo VALUE “i have no idea how jake matthews wins this”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Duško Todorović VALUE “i'm going to go with Duško Todorović over mac and mackie gregory rodriguez”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Duško Todorović “i'm gonna pick dusko” $1.62
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Duško Todorović “i'll pick ducho win by a decision here i expect some wrestling exchanges i think Duško Todorović gets the better of him striking” $1.64
Recent form last five, most recent first
Todorović13-6
W Medina Submission · R1 Sep '25
L Reese Decision · R3 May '25
L Abdul-Malik KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Duncan KO/TKO · R1 Mar '23
W Wright KO/TKO · R2 Oct '22
Pitolo13-9
L Todorović KO/TKO · R1 Dec '21
L Marquez Submission · R3 Feb '21
L Kasanganay Decision · R3 Aug '20
L Stewart Submission · R1 Aug '20
W Byrd KO/TKO · R2 Jun '20