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Fiziev vs RiddellMain Card · Lightweight
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Hill vs CruteMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Guida vs SantosMain Card · Lightweight
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Curtis vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight
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Morono vs GallMain Card · Welterweight
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Todorović vs PitoloPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Kape vs ZhumagulovPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Barberena vs WeeksPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Vlismas vs MartinPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Kape v Zhumagulov
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Kape 22-7
VS
14-9 Zhumagulov
5'5"
height
—
126 lb
weight
—
68"
reach
—
32
age
37
Southpaw
stance
Switch
4.4
strikes landed / min
5.2
53%
striking accuracy
43%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
5.9
59%
striking defence
52%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.3
33%
takedown accuracy
19%
73%
takedown defence
75%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Zhalgas Zhumagulov VALUE
“i think Zhalgas Zhumagulov wins this fight and i think he wins one of two ways”
$69.00
WP
We Want Picks picks Zhalgas Zhumagulov VALUE
“i went with Zhalgas Zhumagulov over Manel Kape it's almost double money plus 195”
$2.95
WP
We Want Picks picks Manel Kape
“i went with Zhalgas Zhumagulov over Manel Kape”
WP
We Want Picks picks Zhalgas Zhumagulov VALUE
“i like Zhalgas Zhumagulov here i have one unit at plus 190 odds”
$2.90
WP
We Want Picks picks Zhalgas Zhumagulov VALUE
“i think manel is gonna lose so Manel Kape he's a good striker”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Manel Kape
“kinda think Manel Kape needs to win this fight”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Manel Kape VALUE
“i really like manell cape here”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Manel Kape
“i think Manel Kape win by decision over zalgat Zhalgas Zhumagulov in this fight here”
$1.51
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Kape22-7
W
Horiguchi
Jun '26
W
Royval
Dec '25
W
Almabayev
Mar '25
W
Silva
Dec '24
L
Mokaev
Jul '24
Zhumagulov14-9
L
Van
Jun '23
L
Johnson
Nov '22
L
Molina
Jun '22
L
Kape
Dec '21
W
Rivera
Jul '21