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Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight
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Muhammad vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight
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Oezdemir vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight
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AA
Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BG
LR
Grad vs RileyPreliminary Card · Featherweight
AY
RC
Yakhyaev vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Ulanbekov vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight
BA
AT
Almakhan vs TopuriaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
IN
RL
Naurdiev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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SR
Aliev vs RockPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Dalby vs IzagakhmaevPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Bujło vs FreemanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Hermansson
over Orolbai · Welterweight
Our fair value$2.95
Betsson
pays above fair
$3.10
Best prices · Hermansson
ESPN BET · US
$3.00
Where to back Hermansson
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.95
US
EB
ESPN BET
$3.00
+2%
UK
Betway
$3.00
+2%
EU
BET
Betsson
$3.10
+5%
AU
TAB
$3.00
+2%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$2.78
How it endsmethod calls · Hermansson · crowd line
Decision
5
$2.95
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Hermansson 24-9
VS
15-2-1 Orolbai
6'1"
height
5'10"
185 lb
weight
170 lb
78"
reach
74"
38
age
28
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.1
strikes landed / min
3.4
44%
striking accuracy
48%
3.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
56%
striking defence
49%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
5.4
30%
takedown accuracy
43%
80%
takedown defence
40%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market34% vs 32%
Consensus48 of 132 analysts
Sharpest angleHermansson by Decision — 5 of 5 method calls
Recommendation
Back Hermansson @ $3.10 · fair $2.95
+5% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Jack Hermansson VALUE
“I'm going to go and pick Oral B to get this done via decision.”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I'm taking Myktybek Orolbai.”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Jack Hermansson VALUE
“Jack Hermansson's record at 8,200”
AM
Anchor MMA picks Jack Hermansson VALUE
“I got Jack Hermansson by unanimous decision”
MC
MMA CTRL picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE
“Myktybek Orolbai by taking on Jack Hermansson at 170 lbs... I think Jack Hermansson is going to get the decision victory.”
MC
MMA CTRL picks Jack Hermansson VALUE
“I think Jack Hermansson is going to get the decision victory over Mick Tybeck.”
FA
Faustlife19 picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I got Myktybek Orolbai by”
RE
RealMNPicks picks Jack Hermansson
“Jack Hermansson's 37 and got 75% confidence.”
MC
MMA Baat Chit picks Jack Hermansson
“going ahead with the reach advantage I would go ahead with Jack Hermansson”
MN
MNPicks picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I'm taking Myktybek Orolbai at 70%.”
BE
BetFighter picks Jack Hermansson
“bet on him winning by submission”
AO
Andrew Osantowski picks Myktybek Orolbai
“I'm going to side with a Myktybek Orolbai”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hermansson24-9
L
Orolbai
Nov '25
L
Rodrigues
Jun '25
W
Pyfer
Feb '24
L
Dolidze
Dec '22
W
Curtis
Jul '22
Orolbai15-2-1
W
Curtis
Mar '26
W
Hermansson
Nov '25
W
Musayev
Jun '25
L
Rębecki
Oct '24
W
Brener
May '24