MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
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AT DH Tsarukyan vs HookerMain Card · Lightweight BM IG Muhammad vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight VO AM Oezdemir vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight JH MO Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight AP AA Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight BG LR Grad vs RileyPreliminary Card · Featherweight AY RC Yakhyaev vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight TU KH Ulanbekov vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight BA AT Almakhan vs TopuriaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight IN RL Naurdiev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight NA SR Aliev vs RockPreliminary Card · Lightweight ND SI Dalby vs IzagakhmaevPreliminary Card · Welterweight MB DF Bujło vs FreemanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight WC SG Cortes-Acosta vs GazievMain Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Aliev v Rock Lightweight Our fair value $1.38 best price $1.36 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Aliev best price · region · EV vs fair $1.38
US Hard Rock Bet $1.36 -2%
UK LiveScore Bet $1.35 -2%
EU Unibet (NL) $1.35 -2%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.36 -2%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.33
Consensus112 picks · conf 91/99
Aliev 80
32 Rock
ELTTRP pick Aliev
How it endsmethod calls · Aliev · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $19.37
Decision 13 $1.49
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Aliev 9-0 VS 0-0 Rock
5'10" height —
155 lb weight —
72" reach —
25 age —
Orthodox stance —
2.5 strikes landed / min —
51% striking accuracy —
0.5 strikes absorbed / min —
59% striking defence —
3.1 takedowns / 15 min —
44% takedown accuracy —
0% takedown defence —
0.0 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market72% vs 74%
Consensus80 of 112 analysts
Sharpest angleAliev by Decision — 13 of 14 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Shaqueme Rock VALUE “I'm going to get Shaqueme Rock to get this done via decision.”
VM Voice of MMA picks Shaqueme Rock VALUE “You have to take this fight going to decision. And if I'm going to do that, I'm taking Nurola Alv, the guy who's going to be on top trying to create damage.”
MC MMA CTRL picks Shaqueme Rock VALUE “I want Shaqueme Rock to choke Aliv out.”
FF Four Ounce Fanatic picks Nurullo Aliev “I am picking Nurullo Aliev”
DO DonDaDa02 picks Nurullo Aliev “we have got Nurullo Aliev versus Shaqueme Rock.”
MN MNPicks picks Nurullo Aliev “Next up, Nurullo Aliev taking Nurullo Aliev at 75%.”
BE BetFighter picks Nurullo Aliev “Nurullo Aliev should be able to handle it easily”
AO Andrew Osantowski picks Nurullo Aliev “Nurullo Aliev who's a minus 280 favorite.”
LO LorenzoPredicts picks Shaqueme Rock “Shaqueme Rock takes the first uh two. Uh no, Shaqueme Rock could maybe get the third. And decision for him”
HN Hidden Source News picks Nurullo Aliev “My pick here will be Nurullo Aliev”
LI liltoaster picks Nurullo Aliev “I'm gonna go Nurullo Aliev on this one.”
IP Inside The Cage Podcast picks Nurullo Aliev “So I'm going to pick Nurullo Aliev here. ... I'm against Shaqueme Rock.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Aliev9-0
W Rock Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Solecki Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Alves Decision · R3 Feb '23
Rock0-0
L Al-Selwady Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Aliev Decision · R3 Nov '25