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UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
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AT DH Tsarukyan vs HookerMain Card · Lightweight BM IG Muhammad vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight VO AM Oezdemir vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight JH MO Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight AP AA Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight BG LR Grad vs RileyPreliminary Card · Featherweight AY RC Yakhyaev vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight TU KH Ulanbekov vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight BA AT Almakhan vs TopuriaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight IN RL Naurdiev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight NA SR Aliev vs RockPreliminary Card · Lightweight ND SI Dalby vs IzagakhmaevPreliminary Card · Welterweight MB DF Bujło vs FreemanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight WC SG Cortes-Acosta vs GazievMain Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Naurdiev v Loder Middleweight Our fair value $1.79 best price $1.80 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Naurdiev best price · region · EV vs fair $1.79
US BetOnline.ag $1.80 +0%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.78 -1%
EU Pinnacle $1.77 -1%
AU Bet Right $1.77 -1%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.82
Consensus124 picks · conf 98/99
Naurdiev 70
54 Loder
TMLRLP pick Naurdiev
How it endsmethod calls · Naurdiev · crowd line
KO/TKO 5 $3.58
Submission 1 $17.90
Decision 4 $4.48
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Naurdiev 24-7 VS 8-1 Loder
5'10" height 6'2"
186 lb weight 185 lb
74" reach 76"
29 age 35
Orthodox stance Southpaw
3.4 strikes landed / min 6.2
53% striking accuracy 80%
1.5 strikes absorbed / min 0.1
66% striking defence 50%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 2.2
40% takedown accuracy 33%
72% takedown defence 100%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 2.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market56% vs 56%
Consensus70 of 124 analysts
Sharpest angleNaurdiev by KO/TKO — 5 of 10 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Ryan Loder VALUE “I'm gonna go with Free Man here. Um, >> this obviously these two make they're making they're making their debuts coming through, but this one's a PM. This is one of them PMs. But yeah, why not? We go with uh Ryan Loder.” $1.70
GM GLO MMA picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE “I am going to go and pick Ismail Naurdiev to get this done via decision.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Ismail Naurdiev “I went with Ismail Naurdiev, Ismail Naurdiev because he has more way more >>”
VM Voice of MMA picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE “I would be taking Ishmail Nordiv to win by KO.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Ryan Loder VALUE “I'm going to have to go with Ryan Loder”
MC MMA CTRL picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE “I'm taking Ismail Nordivv... I think Nordia might KO him... but I'm going to go with Decision on this one as well.”
FF Four Ounce Fanatic picks Ismail Naurdiev “will be picking Ismail Naurdiev to win this fight”
MN MNPicks picks Ismail Naurdiev “I'm taking Ismail Naurdiev at 64%.”
BE BetFighter picks Ismail Naurdiev “I think there is a huge difference in experience in favor of the Ismail Naurdiev and I think he will simply win”
AO Andrew Osantowski picks Ismail Naurdiev “I'm going to side with Ismail Naurdiev.” $1.71
LO LorenzoPredicts picks Ismail Naurdiev “let's pick Ismail Naurdiev to beat Loader as decision.”
IP Inside The Cage Podcast picks Ismail Naurdiev “going to trust Ismail Naurdiev”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Naurdiev24-7
W Loder KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Jun-yong Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Silva Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Brady Decision · R3 Feb '20
W Bahadurzada Decision · R3 Sep '19
Loder8-1
L Naurdiev KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Bekoev KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Valentin KO/TKO · R2 Aug '24