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UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
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AT DH Tsarukyan vs HookerMain Card · Lightweight BM IG Muhammad vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight VO AM Oezdemir vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight JH MO Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight AP AA Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight BG LR Grad vs RileyPreliminary Card · Featherweight AY RC Yakhyaev vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight TU KH Ulanbekov vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight BA AT Almakhan vs TopuriaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight IN RL Naurdiev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight NA SR Aliev vs RockPreliminary Card · Lightweight ND SI Dalby vs IzagakhmaevPreliminary Card · Welterweight MB DF Bujło vs FreemanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight WC SG Cortes-Acosta vs GazievMain Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Almakhan over Topuria · Bantamweight Our fair value$2.23 NordicBet pays above fair $2.42
Where to back Almakhan best price · region · EV vs fair $2.23
US BetMGM $2.20 -1%
UK Betway $2.40 +8%
EU NordicBet $2.42 +9%
AU PlayUp $2.25 +1%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.22
Consensus133 picks · conf 99/99
Almakhan 63
70 Topuria
TRMYIT pick Almakhan
How it endsmethod calls · Almakhan · crowd line
KO/TKO 4 $3.34
Decision 2 $6.68
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Almakhan 12-3 VS 5-1 Topuria
5'7" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 135 lb
68" reach 68"
28 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
0.2 strikes landed / min 0.0
18% striking accuracy 0%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 0.0
30% striking defence 0%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
0% takedown accuracy 0%
0% takedown defence 0%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market45% vs 41%
Consensus63 of 133 analysts
Sharpest angleAlmakhan by KO/TKO — 4 of 6 method calls
Recommendation Back Almakhan @ $2.42 · fair $2.23 +9% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Aleksandre Topuria VALUE “I am going to go and pick Tapora to win via decision.”
VM Voice of MMA picks Bekzat Almakhan VALUE “I'mma take the guy that is known for explo being explosive.”
VM Voice of MMA picks Aleksandre Topuria VALUE “I'mma take the guy that is known for explo being explosive.”
MC MMA CTRL picks Aleksandre Topuria VALUE “I'm on Alex Toporia. He's going to get the job done via aura farming. He's going to get the decision.”
FF Four Ounce Fanatic picks Bekzat Almakhan “Ilio Toptio picking Bekzat Almakhan to win this fight... I will be picking Bekzat Almakhan”
DO DonDaDa02 picks Aleksandre Topuria “I think Aleksandre Topuria wins.”
MC MMA Baat Chit picks Aleksandre Topuria “But I'm thinking that Aleksandre Topuria will win by Aleksandre Topuria will win by Aleksandre Topuria will win by andra maximum.”
MN MNPicks picks Aleksandre Topuria “I'm taking Aleksandre Topuria at 70%.”
BE BetFighter picks Aleksandre Topuria “we are betting on Aleksandre Topuria I think that he just has to ... but I think that Aleksandre Topuria will simply win”
AO Andrew Osantowski picks Bekzat Almakhan “Bekzat Almakhan anybody that's on Bekzat Almakhan here.”
LO LorenzoPredicts picks Aleksandre Topuria “I'm going to go Aleksandre Topuria here... But Aleksandre Topuria by decision... Aleksandre Topuria 29-28.”
JM JTM MMA picks Aleksandre Topuria “I am going to give to Aleksandre Topuria ... I think it'll be a decision. 2928 to Aleksandre Topuria”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Almakhan12-3
L Matsumoto Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Topuria Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Katona KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Mar '24
Topuria5-1
W Almakhan Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Thicknesse Decision · R3 Feb '25