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UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
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AT DH Tsarukyan vs HookerMain Card · Lightweight BM IG Muhammad vs GarryMain Card · Welterweight VO AM Oezdemir vs MenifieldMain Card · Light Heavyweight JH MO Hermansson vs OrolbaiMain Card · Welterweight AP AA Perez vs AlmabayevPreliminary Card · Flyweight BG LR Grad vs RileyPreliminary Card · Featherweight AY RC Yakhyaev vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight TU KH Ulanbekov vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight BA AT Almakhan vs TopuriaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight IN RL Naurdiev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight NA SR Aliev vs RockPreliminary Card · Lightweight ND SI Dalby vs IzagakhmaevPreliminary Card · Welterweight MB DF Bujło vs FreemanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight WC SG Cortes-Acosta vs GazievMain Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Yakhyaev over Cerqueira · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$1.08 Unibet (SE) pays above fair $1.09
Where to back Yakhyaev best price · region · EV vs fair $1.08
US ESPN BET $1.07 -1%
UK Betway $1.07 -1%
EU Unibet (SE) $1.09 +1%
AU TAB $1.08 +0%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.09
Consensus103 picks · conf 86/99
Yakhyaev 99
4 Cerqueira
MTCRLP pick Yakhyaev
How it endsmethod calls · Yakhyaev · crowd line
KO/TKO 12 $1.26
Submission 2 $7.54
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Yakhyaev 9-0 VS 11-1 Cerqueira
6'2" height 6'3"
206 lb weight 203 lb
78" reach 76"
25 age 36
Orthodox stance Southpaw
— strikes landed / min 1.2
— striking accuracy 100%
— strikes absorbed / min 32.9
— striking defence 22%
— takedowns / 15 min 0.0
— takedown accuracy 0%
— takedown defence 0%
— submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market93% vs 92%
Consensus99 of 103 analysts
Sharpest angleYakhyaev by KO/TKO — 12 of 14 method calls
Recommendation Back Yakhyaev @ $1.09 · fair $1.08 +1% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Rafael Cerqueira VALUE “I'm gonna have to go and pick Abdul Rakman first round sub.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev “uh I went with him on this one. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev.”
FF Four Ounce Fanatic picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev “I'm picking I'm picking Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev... Either way I will be picking Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev”
RE RealMNPicks picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev “Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev over Rafael Cerqueira at light heavyweight. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev's undefeated at 7-0. 92% confidence on Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev.”
MN MNPicks picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev “I'm taking Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at 92%.”
BE BetFighter picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev VALUE “So we're putting Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by knockout here.” $2.05
LO LorenzoPredicts picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev “I'll go Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO first round. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev round one KO but wins.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev “My pick is Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev to I'll have 40% of my lineups for Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev versus Rafael Cerqueira. and just 10% for Rafael Cerqueira.”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev “I'm going to pick Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev Rakman to First round KO for Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev Rakman.”
FM FORGE MMA picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev VALUE “Round one knockout. Just fought in the Contender Series against that pale computer nerd Laurens or whatever his name was. Put [snorts] him out bad.”
TD The Cage Doctor picks Rafael Cerqueira “He's going to win this by first round finish.”
DC Dougies Corner picks Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev “these Rafael Cerqueira is a bum.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Yakhyaev9-0
W Walker KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Ribeiro Submission · R1 Apr '26
W Cerqueira Submission · R1 Nov '25
Cerqueira11-1
L Yakhyaev Submission · R1 Nov '25
L Walker Decision · R3 Aug '25