MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
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SS AH Strickland vs HernandezMain Card · Middleweight DI MC Ige vs CostaMain Card · Featherweight SS AD Spivac vs DelijaMain Card · Heavyweight ZR MP Reese vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight OO AI Osbourne vs IdirisPreliminary Card · Flyweight AC LG Coria vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight NC JE Cornolle vs EdwardsPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JL YV Leavitt vs VallePreliminary Card · Featherweight JM CJ Miller vs JudicePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight GN UM Neal vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight JS JH Smith vs HarrellMain Card · Welterweight RB PS Brahimaj vs SorianoPreliminary Card · Welterweight PR JL Rowe vs LebosnoyaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight CL CN Leal vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Strickland over Hernandez · Middleweight Our fair value$3.11 Unibet pays above fair $3.40
Where to back Strickland best price · region · EV vs fair $3.11
US BetRivers $3.40 +9%
UK Virgin Bet $3.40 +9%
EU Unibet (NL) $3.40 +9%
AU Unibet $3.40 +9%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $3.23
Consensus350 picks · conf 99/99
Strickland 132
218 Hernandez
WPWTCP pick Strickland
How it endsmethod calls · Strickland · crowd line
KO/TKO 7 $12.01
Decision 20 $4.20
Polymarket props · Strickland KO/TKO $3.49 O/U 0.5 Rounds O $1.16 U $7.41O/U 1.5 Rounds O $1.25 U $5.00
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Strickland 30-7 VS 15-2 Hernandez
6'1" height 6'0"
185 lb weight 186 lb
76" reach 75"
35 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 4.9
47% striking accuracy 63%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 2.9
58% striking defence 46%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 6.6
40% takedown accuracy 44%
78% takedown defence 65%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 2.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market32% vs 29%
Consensus132 of 350 analysts
Sharpest angleStrickland by Decision — 20 of 27 method calls
Recommendation Back Strickland @ $3.40 · fair $3.11 +9% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Buzzed Sports Media picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE
AN AntUFC picks Sean Strickland VALUE “I believe it's going to be Sean Strickland for me with his advantage on the feet... I think that Sean Strickland is going to have an easier chance to victory and can make a better game plan for this fight.”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Sean Strickland VALUE “Sean Strickland winning this fight”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “I of the night, I think Anthony Hernandez no clue”
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “Anthony Hernandez will get it done.” $1.62
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Sean Strickland VALUE “I think what we see is a unanimous decision from Sean Strickland.” $3.20
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Sean Strickland VALUE “I can see him winning by decision.” $3.25
ML MMA LIFE picks Sean Strickland VALUE “I think I'm going to bet on him just singly just him underdog to win that fight”
ML MMA LIFE picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “I'm leaning towards Anthony Anthony Hernandez”
MM MMAInstigator picks Sean Strickland “I'm taking Shawn Sean Strickland by decision.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “Anthony Hernandez is going to just absolutely Anthony Hernandez uh decision.”
IE IENJOYFIGHTS picks Sean Strickland VALUE “Sean Strickland by decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Strickland30-7
W Chimaev Decision · R5 May '26
W Hernandez KO/TKO · R3 Feb '26
L Plessis Decision · R5 Feb '25
W Costa Decision · R5 Jun '24
L Plessis Decision · R5 Jan '24
Hernandez15-2
L Strickland KO/TKO · R3 Feb '26
W Dolidze Submission · R4 Aug '25
W Allen Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Pereira KO/TKO · R5 Oct '24
W Kopylov Submission · R2 Feb '24