MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read del Valle v Leavitt Featherweight Our fair value $1.29 best price $1.28 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back del Valle best price · region · EV vs fair $1.29
US DraftKings $1.27 -2%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $1.25 -3%
EU Pinnacle $1.28 -1%
AU PointsBet (AU) $1.25 -3%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.28
Consensus194 picks · conf 99/99
Leavitt 43
151 del Valle
CAYSC4 pick Leavitt
How it endsmethod calls · del Valle · crowd line
KO/TKO 8 $5.64
Submission 23 $1.96
Decision 3 $15.04
None 1 $45.13
Polymarket props · del Valle KO/TKO $6.90 O/U 0.5 Rounds O $1.24 U $5.13O/U 1.5 Rounds O $1.54 U $2.86
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Leavitt 13-4 VS 10-0 del Valle
5'9" height 5'9"
145 lb weight 146 lb
71" reach 69"
31 age 29
Southpaw stance Southpaw
4.8 strikes landed / min 8.3
57% striking accuracy 66%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
68% striking defence 50%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
61% takedown accuracy 33%
75% takedown defence 66%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 1.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market78% vs 78%
Consensus151 of 194 analysts
Sharpest angledel Valle by Submission — 23 of 35 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Yadier del Valle VALUE “I think the styles just really match up for Yadier Dval to have a good fight.” $1.50
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE “I think Yadier Deval is too strong... give me Yadier del Valle by knockout.” $2.05
ML MMA LIFE picks Yadier del Valle VALUE “I'm going Yadier del Valle Delva to win by decision or knockout”
MM MMAInstigator picks Yadier del Valle “I'm taking Yadier del Valle by knockout.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE “bet Jordan Leavitt here.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Yadier del Valle VALUE “I liked Yadier del Valle to win I don't mind that Yadier del Valle wins in round one”
JC Jaiden Cable picks Yadier del Valle “I got Yadier del Valle going to say Yadier del Valle.”
WP We Want Picks picks Yadier del Valle “Jordan Leavitt has no real takedowns. Jordan Leavitt has no real striking and he my lineup for that reason.”
LM LF MMA picks Yadier del Valle “Jordan Leavitt does pretty easy for me to choose Yadier del Valle here.”
MA MaybeLuissMMA picks Yadier del Valle “I think that Yadier del Valle is a better Yadier del Valle by submission.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Yadier del Valle “Yadier del Valle by finish round one or two”
RX RX picks Yadier del Valle “I'm going Yadier del Valle by I'm think round two... give me Yadier del Valle by submission”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Leavitt13-4
L Brito Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Valle Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Holobaugh Submission · R1 May '25
L Hooper Submission · R1 Nov '23
W Martinez KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
del Valle10-0
L Leavitt Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Dulgarian Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Matthews Submission · R1 May '25