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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
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BEST PRICE We back Brahimaj over Soriano · Welterweight Our fair value$1.88 Bovada pays above fair $2.22
Where to back Brahimaj best price · region · EV vs fair $1.88
US Bovada $2.22 +18%
UK Unibet (UK) $2.12 +12%
EU Pinnacle $2.16 +15%
AU SportsBet $2.10 +11%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.17
Consensus170 picks · conf 99/99
Brahimaj 107
63 Soriano
COAFDA pick Brahimaj
How it endsmethod calls · Brahimaj · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $49.00
Submission 16 $3.06
Decision 9 $5.44
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Brahimaj 13-6 VS 12-4 Soriano
5'10" height 5'11"
170 lb weight 171 lb
72" reach 72"
33 age 33
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.0 strikes landed / min 4.4
40% striking accuracy 60%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.4
52% striking defence 51%
2.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
54% takedown accuracy 53%
68% takedown defence 73%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market53% vs 45%
Consensus107 of 170 analysts
Sharpest angleBrahimaj by Submission — 16 of 26 method calls
Recommendation Back Brahimaj @ $2.22 · fair $1.88 +18% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Ramiz Brahimaj “we went with Ramse.” $1.82
MM MMAInstigator picks Punahele Soriano “So, I'm taking Poriano Soraniano by decision.”
MT Mark Berry TMA picks Ramiz Brahimaj VALUE $1.91
MM MmaTape picks Ramiz Brahimaj VALUE
WP We Want Picks picks Ramiz Brahimaj “If you want to throw Ramiz Brahimaj in your lineup”
MA MaybeLuissMMA picks Ramiz Brahimaj “Ramiz Brahimaj's grappling will dominate this but I think he'll submit Punahele Soriano”
BM Bozing MMA picks Ramiz Brahimaj “I think Ramiz Brahimaj will win this but I'm going to go Ramiz Brahimaj by sub”
RX RX picks Ramiz Brahimaj “I'm going Ramiz Brahimaj by decision.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Ramiz Brahimaj “I actually think Ramiz Brahimaj can win a one. I think I decided is Ramiz Brahimaj. We Ramiz Brahimaj by decision at 7 to1.”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Ramiz Brahimaj “by Ramiz Brahimaj submission after Punahele Soriano”
MR MMA on the Rocks (MMA on the Rocks) picks Punahele Soriano “I like the way uh Punahele Soriano”
KI KingofCrackdown5095 picks Punahele Soriano “We're leaning Punahele Soriano the fighters, but again, I feel like Punahele Soriano is which will be the wrestling of Punahele Soriano.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Brahimaj13-6
L Soriano Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Vanderford Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Goff Submission · R1 May '25
W Gall KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Gorimbo Decision · R3 May '24
Soriano12-4
W Brahimaj Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Veretennikov Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Medić KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Baeza Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Stoltzfus Submission · R2 Dec '23