MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
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SS AH Strickland vs HernandezMain Card · Middleweight DI MC Ige vs CostaMain Card · Featherweight SS AD Spivac vs DelijaMain Card · Heavyweight ZR MP Reese vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight OO AI Osbourne vs IdirisPreliminary Card · Flyweight AC LG Coria vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight NC JE Cornolle vs EdwardsPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JL YV Leavitt vs VallePreliminary Card · Featherweight JM CJ Miller vs JudicePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight GN UM Neal vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight JS JH Smith vs HarrellMain Card · Welterweight RB PS Brahimaj vs SorianoPreliminary Card · Welterweight PR JL Rowe vs LebosnoyaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight CL CN Leal vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Neal over Medić · Welterweight Our fair value$1.47 Betfair Sportsbook pays above fair $1.53
Where to back Neal best price · region · EV vs fair $1.47
US BetOnline.ag $1.53 +4%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $1.53 +4%
EU Pinnacle $1.52 +4%
AU Bet Right $1.52 +4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.52
Consensus262 picks · conf 99/99
Neal 195
67 Medić
CWPGMM pick Neal
How it endsmethod calls · Neal · crowd line
KO/TKO 29 $1.72
Decision 4 $12.48
None 1 $49.93
Polymarket props · Neal O/U 0.5 Rounds O $1.98 U $2.02O/U 1.5 Rounds O $1.98 U $2.02
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Neal 16-7 VS 10-2 Medić
5'11" height —
171 lb weight —
75" reach —
35 age 33
Southpaw stance Southpaw
5.0 strikes landed / min 5.5
51% striking accuracy 60%
5.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
57% striking defence 58%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
50% takedown accuracy 50%
87% takedown defence 55%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market68% vs 65%
Consensus195 of 262 analysts
Sharpest angleNeal by KO/TKO — 29 of 34 method calls
Recommendation Back Neal @ $1.53 · fair $1.47 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Geoff Neal VALUE “I picked Geoff Neal to a banger fight”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Uroš Medić VALUE “I picked Uroš Medić to a banger fight”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Geoff Neal “I think I got Geoff Neal on this one.”
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Geoff Neal VALUE “I think Yos Medic slimes him out.” $1.45
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Geoff Neal “I don't know. I got Geoff Neal.”
ML MMA LIFE picks Geoff Neal VALUE “Give me Uros Medic. I believe Serbia 61. Yeah, give me that [__] to win”
MM MMAInstigator picks Uroš Medić “I'm taking Uroš Medić by knockout.”
MT Mark Berry TMA picks Geoff Neal VALUE $1.50
DU Dirty Blonde UFC picks Geoff Neal VALUE “I'm going to go with Geoff Neal”
MJ Mukbang with jj picks Geoff Neal VALUE “I think Geoff Neal is a lock, especially as an underdog...”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Geoff Neal “Geoff Neal's going to knock out Uroš Medić.”
MM MMACOOLQUAY picks Geoff Neal “I got Geoff Neal Geoff Neal winning by TKO. Second, third the third round. I see Geoff Neal TKOing”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Neal16-7
L Medić KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
L Prates KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Anjos KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
L Garry Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Rakhmonov Submission · R3 Mar '23
Medić10-2
W Neal KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
W Salikhov KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Urbina KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Soriano KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Means KO/TKO · R1 Apr '24