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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
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SS AH Strickland vs HernandezMain Card · Middleweight DI MC Ige vs CostaMain Card · Featherweight SS AD Spivac vs DelijaMain Card · Heavyweight ZR MP Reese vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight OO AI Osbourne vs IdirisPreliminary Card · Flyweight AC LG Coria vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight NC JE Cornolle vs EdwardsPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JL YV Leavitt vs VallePreliminary Card · Featherweight JM CJ Miller vs JudicePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight GN UM Neal vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight JS JH Smith vs HarrellMain Card · Welterweight RB PS Brahimaj vs SorianoPreliminary Card · Welterweight PR JL Rowe vs LebosnoyaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight CL CN Leal vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Osbourne over Idiris · Flyweight Our fair value$2.08 Pinnacle pays above fair $2.15
Where to back Osbourne best price · region · EV vs fair $2.08
US Bovada $2.15 +3%
UK William Hill (UK) $2.10 +1%
EU Pinnacle $2.15 +3%
AU PlayUp $2.12 +2%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.13
Consensus188 picks · conf 99/99
Osbourne 101
87 Idiris
CAFSMJ pick Osbourne
How it endsmethod calls · Osbourne · crowd line
KO/TKO 8 $4.43
Submission 2 $17.71
Decision 7 $5.06
Polymarket props · Osbourne KO/TKO $5.26Submission $5.26Decision $2.13 O/U 0.5 Rounds O $1.26 U $4.88O/U 1.5 Rounds O $1.47 U $3.12
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Osbourne 13-9 VS 0-0 Idiris
5'7" height 5'6"
135 lb weight 126 lb
73" reach 68"
34 age 31
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.3 strikes landed / min —
40% striking accuracy —
4.0 strikes absorbed / min —
45% striking defence —
1.2 takedowns / 15 min —
28% takedown accuracy —
63% takedown defence —
0.6 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market48% vs 47%
Consensus101 of 188 analysts
Sharpest angleOsbourne by KO/TKO — 8 of 17 method calls
Recommendation Back Osbourne @ $2.15 · fair $2.08 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE “I think Ode' Osbourne maybe in over Lia”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Alibi Idiris “Yeah, Alibi Idiris is the way to go.”
ML MMA LIFE picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE “I'm going the Kazakhstanian little [__] just gremlin over here. Give me this guy to win”
MM MMAInstigator picks Alibi Idiris “I'm taking Alibi Idiris by knockout.”
MT Mark Berry TMA picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE $1.77
MM MmaTape picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE “My money is on NOT_IN_ROSTER_1. Like, comment, subscribe if you are new.”
MJ Mukbang with jj picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE “I kind of like Ode' Osbourne... Ode' Osbourne is pretty good, man.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alibi Idiris “likely scenario is Alibi Idiris”
JC Jaiden Cable picks Alibi Idiris “for Alibi Idiris and I go for”
WP We Want Picks picks Ode' Osbourne “So, I'm gonna pick Ode' Osbourne here.”
MA MaybeLuissMMA picks Alibi Idiris “So, I got Alibi Idiris by decision just and Alibi Idiris will be able to control it”
BM Bozing MMA picks Ode' Osbourne “I'm going Ode' Osbourne by KO round one or two.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Osbourne13-9
L Idiris Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Erceg Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Gurule KO/TKO · R2 Apr '25
L Rodríguez Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Filho Submission · R1 Mar '24
Idiris0-0
W Osbourne Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Morales Submission · R2 Aug '25