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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
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SS AH Strickland vs HernandezMain Card · Middleweight DI MC Ige vs CostaMain Card · Featherweight SS AD Spivac vs DelijaMain Card · Heavyweight ZR MP Reese vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight OO AI Osbourne vs IdirisPreliminary Card · Flyweight AC LG Coria vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight NC JE Cornolle vs EdwardsPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JL YV Leavitt vs VallePreliminary Card · Featherweight JM CJ Miller vs JudicePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight GN UM Neal vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight JS JH Smith vs HarrellMain Card · Welterweight RB PS Brahimaj vs SorianoPreliminary Card · Welterweight PR JL Rowe vs LebosnoyaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight CL CN Leal vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Coria over Gurule · Flyweight Our fair value$1.25 Unibet (SE) pays above fair $1.36
Where to back Coria best price · region · EV vs fair $1.25
US BetOnline.ag $1.29 +3%
UK Betway $1.29 +3%
EU Unibet (SE) $1.36 +9%
AU Unibet $1.26 +1%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.29
Consensus187 picks · conf 99/99
Coria 167
20 Gurule
PCTRFT pick Coria
How it endsmethod calls · Coria · crowd line
KO/TKO 23 $1.68
Decision 8 $4.84
Polymarket props · Coria KO/TKO $4.76 O/U 0.5 Rounds O $1.22 U $5.56O/U 1.5 Rounds O $1.41 U $3.45
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Coria 11-3 VS 11-3 Gurule
5'8" height 5'5"
126 lb weight 125 lb
67" reach 64"
28 age 32
-- stance Orthodox
2.9 strikes landed / min 4.6
55% striking accuracy 62%
2.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
70% striking defence 61%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 2.1
29% takedown accuracy 74%
81% takedown defence 85%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market80% vs 74%
Consensus167 of 187 analysts
Sharpest angleCoria by KO/TKO — 23 of 31 method calls
Recommendation Back Coria @ $1.36 · fair $1.25 +9% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Alden Coria VALUE “I really don't think this is a very difficult fight to pick... I think Alen Korea... I think we see a pretty dominant 3027 decision.” $1.91
TO The MMA Outlaw picks Luis Gurule VALUE “Sergey Spivac again leaves something to be desired for sure... but he's been in the UFC a little bit longer... Sergey Spievok is plus 105.” $2.05
MM MMAInstigator picks Alden Coria “I'm taking Alden Coria by knockout.”
MT Mark Berry TMA picks Luis Gurule VALUE $4.50
JC Jaiden Cable picks Luis Gurule “go with Luis Gurule.”
WP We Want Picks picks Alden Coria “Alden Coria striking smokes Luis Gurule.”
LM LF MMA picks Alden Coria “I think Alden Coria is highly Luis Gurule. I think he puts on the clinic.”
MA MaybeLuissMMA picks Alden Coria “I think he'll finish at um Luis Gurule in round”
BM Bozing MMA picks Alden Coria “got Alden Coria by mid-rounds, TKO”
RX RX picks Alden Coria “Give me Alden Coria by knockout give me Alden Coria and knock out in a second. Luis Gurule has a weak chin.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alden Coria “And I think Alden Coria is from Alden Coria in this matchup.”
PV Predicciones UFC - VainillaUFC picks Alden Coria “The pick is going to be Alden Coria ends up winning”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Coria11-3
W Gurule Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Costa KO/TKO · R3 Sep '25
Gurule11-3
L Tsuruya Submission · R1 May '26
W Barez Decision · R3 May '26
L Coria Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Aguilar Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Osbourne KO/TKO · R2 Apr '25