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Ige vs CostaMain Card · Featherweight
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Spivac vs DelijaMain Card · Heavyweight
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Reese vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
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Osbourne vs IdirisPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Coria vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Cornolle vs EdwardsPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Leavitt vs VallePreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Miller vs JudicePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Neal vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight
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Smith vs HarrellMain Card · Welterweight
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Brahimaj vs SorianoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Rowe vs LebosnoyaniPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Harrell
over Smith · Welterweight
Our fair value$1.97
pays above fair
$3.75
Best prices · Harrell
BetOnline.ag · US
$3.75
Where to back Harrell
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.97
US
BetOnline.ag
$3.75
+90%
BetOnline.ag
$3.75
+90%
UK
William Hill (UK)
$3.60
+82%
EU
Pinnacle
$3.72
+88%
AU
PlayUp
$3.65
+85%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$3.70
Consensus40 picks · conf 62/99
pick Smith
How it endsmethod calls · Harrell · crowd line
KO/TKO
2
$3.95
Decision
2
$3.95
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Smith 11-0
VS
11-0 Harrell
6'2"
height
5'7"
170 lb
weight
171 lb
72"
reach
68"
30
age
27
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
7.0
strikes landed / min
—
76%
striking accuracy
—
1.4
strikes absorbed / min
—
54%
striking defence
—
13.3
takedowns / 15 min
—
87%
takedown accuracy
—
0%
takedown defence
—
0.0
submissions / 15 min
—
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market51% vs 27%
Consensus40 of 40 analysts
Sharpest angleHarrell by KO/TKO — 2 of 4 method calls
Recommendation
Back Harrell @ $3.75 · fair $1.97
+90% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
LM
LF MMA picks Josiah Harrell
“Josiah Harrell will probably win this”
TC
The Finz Chats picks Josiah Harrell VALUE
“I will also be taking Josiah Harrell. Give me Josiah Harrell.”
FT
Flamingo Fight Talk picks Josiah Harrell
“I'mma pick jerker.”
AF
Around the Felt picks Josiah Harrell
“In full disclosure, I'm a big Josiah Harrell fan. ... So want to bet on Josiah Harrell. Don't bet better odds on Josiah Harrell because I some respect for Josiah Harrell making a Josiah Harrell. like he's built in a lab.”
CM
Carnage Media picks Josiah Harrell
“I'm going with the Josiah Harrell all day.”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Josiah Harrell VALUE
“I'm leaning Smith”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Josiah Harrell VALUE
“and that could lead to Josiah Harrell wide and Josiah Harrell should definitely be little bit of a sprinkle on Josiah Harrell's”
DE
DevvioMMA picks Josiah Harrell
“Real ones know Josiah Harrell.”
SS
Spinnin Backfist MMA Show picks Josiah Harrell VALUE
“Josiah Harrell respect cuz Jacobe Smith to me is one so suspect and Josiah Harrell Josiah Harrell is a guy that I mean his story is >> but I if Josiah Harrell makes it a scrap >> like Josiah Harrell like round three.”
SN
Ship It Nation picks Josiah Harrell
“that's why I have uh Josiah Harrell as a Josiah Harrell.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Smith11-0
W
Harrell
Feb '26
W
Price
Jun '25
W
Parsons
Jan '25
Harrell11-0
L
Smith
Feb '26