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UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
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AS YZ Sterling vs ZalalMain Card · Featherweight RG AH García vs HernandezMain Card · Lightweight MJ RB Jackson vs BarcelosMain Card · Bantamweight ND JE Dumont vs EdwardsMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight MB RS Buchecha vs SpannMain Card · Heavyweight TA JP Alencar vs PolastriPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight RV EM Vieira vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Middleweight MS MM Silva vs MontaguePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JM SD McVey vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight DG AM Grant vs MartinettiMain Card · Bantamweight JF CD Filho vs DurdenPreliminary Card · Bantamweight FM LB Marshall vs BrennanPreliminary Card · Lightweight MG VV Griffin vs ValenzuelaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Sterling over Zalal · Featherweight Our fair value$2.02 Pinnacle pays above fair $2.21
Where to back Sterling best price · region · EV vs fair $2.02
US DraftKings $2.20 +9%
UK Virgin Bet $2.15 +6%
EU Pinnacle $2.21 +9%
AU PointsBet (AU) $2.15 +6%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.17
Consensus188 picks · conf 99/99
Sterling 112
76 Zalal
MTRTMU pick Sterling
How it endsmethod calls · Sterling · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $24.29
Submission 4 $12.14
Decision 18 $2.70
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Sterling 25-5 VS 18-5-1 Zalal
5'7" height 5'10"
153 lb weight 146 lb
71" reach 72"
36 age 29
Orthodox stance Switch
5.7 strikes landed / min 4.6
44% striking accuracy 61%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
55% striking defence 51%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
27% takedown accuracy 38%
63% takedown defence 88%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 1.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market49% vs 45%
Consensus112 of 188 analysts
Sharpest angleSterling by Decision — 18 of 24 method calls
Recommendation Back Sterling @ $2.21 · fair $2.02 +9% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP Working Fans Podcast picks Youssef Zalal “I just got this sneaky feeling that Youssef Zalal is going to pull out a decision here. I'll go decision.”
WP Working Fans Podcast picks Aljamain Sterling “I'm gonna pick with my heart. I'm just going to go with Aljamain Sterling.”
RX RX picks Aljamain Sterling “Easy one for Aljamain Sterling by decisions.”
CA CageSideConnor picks Youssef Zalal “I'm picking Youssef Zalal by decision for my official pick.”
MD MMA DUMMY picks Aljamain Sterling “we're taking Aljamain Sterling.”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Youssef Zalal “So, I do like Youssef Zalal here.”
SP SportsLine picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE “I'm going to get the plus money on Aljo... I like the championship pedigree that we've seen from Aljamain Sterling.”
WP We Want Picks picks Aljamain Sterling “to pick Aljamain Sterling here and I'm probably going ... but I think Aljamain Sterling's going to win here”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE “I took him by decision at plus 260” $3.60
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Aljamain Sterling “I'm going with Aljamain Sterling.”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE “I bet on Aljamain Sterling because Aljamain Sterling is the underdog”
TP The Surprise Jab Podcast picks Youssef Zalal “the hunger that Youssef Zalal has is going to finish. I think ... Youssef Zalal to get it done”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Sterling25-5
W Zalal Decision · R5 Apr '26
W Ortega Decision · R5 Aug '25
L Evloev Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Kattar Decision · R3 Apr '24
L O'Malley KO/TKO · R2 Aug '23
Zalal18-5-1
L Sterling Decision · R5 Apr '26
W Emmett Submission · R1 Oct '25
W Kattar Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Shore Submission · R2 Nov '24
W Errens Submission · R1 Aug '24