MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
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AS YZ Sterling vs ZalalMain Card · Featherweight RG AH García vs HernandezMain Card · Lightweight MJ RB Jackson vs BarcelosMain Card · Bantamweight ND JE Dumont vs EdwardsMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight MB RS Buchecha vs SpannMain Card · Heavyweight TA JP Alencar vs PolastriPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight RV EM Vieira vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Middleweight MS MM Silva vs MontaguePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JM SD McVey vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight DG AM Grant vs MartinettiMain Card · Bantamweight JF CD Filho vs DurdenPreliminary Card · Bantamweight FM LB Marshall vs BrennanPreliminary Card · Lightweight MG VV Griffin vs ValenzuelaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Luna Martinetti over Grant · Bantamweight Our fair value$1.54 TAB pays above fair $2.10
Where to back Luna Martinetti best price · region · EV vs fair $1.54
US Caesars $2.10 +36%
UK LeoVegas $2.00 +30%
EU Pinnacle $2.10 +36%
AU TAB $2.10 +36%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.04
Consensus48 picks · conf 68/99
Grant 0
48 Luna Martinetti
pick Grant
How it endsmethod calls · Luna Martinetti · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $7.72
Submission 2 $7.72
Decision 6 $2.57
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Grant 17-8 VS 17-1 Luna Martinetti
5'8" height 5'8"
136 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 71"
40 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min —
37% striking accuracy —
3.7 strikes absorbed / min —
74% striking defence —
2.8 takedowns / 15 min —
52% takedown accuracy —
81% takedown defence —
0.6 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market65% vs 48%
Consensus48 of 48 analysts
Sharpest angleLuna Martinetti by Decision — 6 of 10 method calls
Recommendation Back Luna Martinetti @ $2.10 · fair $1.54 +36% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MD MMA DUMMY picks Adrián Luna Martinetti “we're taking Adrián Luna Martinetti win by decision.”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Adrián Luna Martinetti VALUE “Give me Adrián Luna Martinetti Adrián Luna Martinetti to get the job done.”
TP The Surprise Jab Podcast picks Adrián Luna Martinetti “picking Adrián Luna Martinetti... Adrián Luna Martinetti over Davey Grant”
SS Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Adrián Luna Martinetti “I like Adrián Luna Martinetti in this fight... I'm going to go Adrián Luna Martinetti by decision.”
MA MaybeLuissMMA picks Adrián Luna Martinetti “I winning this one. Adrián Luna Martinetti, I think gonna take the underdog in Adrián Luna Martinetti take Adrián Luna Martinetti by decision.”
BG Bettor in Green picks Adrián Luna Martinetti VALUE “For now though, I'm going Adrián Luna Martinetti moneyline plus 115.” $2.15
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Adrián Luna Martinetti VALUE “I'm going to have to pick Adrián Luna Martinetti to get this one done”
IZ Izzysdegenmind picks Adrián Luna Martinetti “taking the dog here... Adrián Luna Martinetti plus 102... Give me Adrián Luna Martinetti to win” $2.02
WH WHEEZY picks Adrián Luna Martinetti “I'm going to take Adrián Luna Martinetti. I I think Adrián Luna Martinetti is going to going to win I just I think Adrián Luna Martinetti is going to be Grant. Adrián Luna Martinetti to win”
GP Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Adrián Luna Martinetti VALUE “give me Adrián Luna Martinetti here.”
MR MMA on the Rocks (MMA on the Rocks) picks Adrián Luna Martinetti “I'm taking uh Youssef Zalal hasn't lost since 2017 going in there with the 40-year-old Davey Grant. ... imagine Adrián Luna Martinetti is a huge favorite here.”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Adrián Luna Martinetti “I like the under two Adrián Luna Martinetti uh has his fights uh sorry side for Adrián Luna Martinetti, I think if he wins”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Grant17-8
W Martinetti Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Jourdain Submission · R1 Oct '25
W Blackshear Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Taveras Decision · R3 Dec '24
L Marcos Decision · R3 Jul '23
Luna Martinetti17-1
L Grant Decision · R3 Apr '26