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UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
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AS YZ Sterling vs ZalalMain Card · Featherweight RG AH García vs HernandezMain Card · Lightweight MJ RB Jackson vs BarcelosMain Card · Bantamweight ND JE Dumont vs EdwardsMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight MB RS Buchecha vs SpannMain Card · Heavyweight TA JP Alencar vs PolastriPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight RV EM Vieira vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Middleweight MS MM Silva vs MontaguePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JM SD McVey vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight DG AM Grant vs MartinettiMain Card · Bantamweight JF CD Filho vs DurdenPreliminary Card · Bantamweight FM LB Marshall vs BrennanPreliminary Card · Lightweight MG VV Griffin vs ValenzuelaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Spann over Buchecha · Heavyweight Our fair value$2.08 Pinnacle pays above fair $2.35
Where to back Spann best price · region · EV vs fair $2.08
US BetUS $2.30 +10%
UK 888sport $2.25 +8%
EU Pinnacle $2.35 +13%
AU PointsBet (AU) $2.25 +8%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.33
Consensus147 picks · conf 99/99
Buchecha 59
88 Spann
BNFBTS pick Buchecha
How it endsmethod calls · Spann · crowd line
KO/TKO 15 $2.92
Submission 3 $14.59
Decision 3 $14.59
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Buchecha 5-2-1 VS 23-11 Spann
6'2" height 6'5"
254 lb weight 252 lb
77" reach 79"
36 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 3.3
— striking accuracy 40%
— strikes absorbed / min 3.9
— striking defence 43%
— takedowns / 15 min 1.3
— takedown accuracy 35%
— takedown defence 50%
— submissions / 15 min 1.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market48% vs 43%
Consensus88 of 147 analysts
Sharpest angleSpann by KO/TKO — 15 of 21 method calls
Recommendation Back Spann @ $2.35 · fair $2.08 +13% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RX RX picks Ryan Spann VALUE “I'm going Ryan Spann here.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Marcus Buchecha “I'm taking a shot on Marcus Buchecha”
MD MMA DUMMY picks Ryan Spann “I think I'm going to take Ryan Spann on this one.”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE “I bet Marcus Buchecha by submission plus 175” $2.75
TP The Franchise Player picks Ryan Spann “I'm going to go Ryan Spann. Ryan Spann money line”
TP The Surprise Jab Podcast picks Ryan Spann VALUE “I love him as an get it done." You know, Ryan Spann more” $2.10
SS Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Ryan Spann “I'm going to go Ryan Spann by KO.”
MA MaybeLuissMMA picks Ryan Spann “I got Ryan Spann first round”
TF The Fight Forecast picks Ryan Spann VALUE “I'm going to lean Ryan Ryan Spann money line plus 125.” $2.25
SL Summit Valley Sports LLC picks Ryan Spann “I'm gonna go with Ryan Spann here... give me Ryan Spann.”
MM MMAnomaly picks Ryan Spann “I'm picking Ryan Spann here”
SO Sorvain picks Ryan Spann “While Marcus Buchecha has the grappling edge, I'm leaning towards Ryan Spann's knockout upside.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Buchecha5-2-1
L Spann KO/TKO · R2 Apr '26
L Buday Decision · R3 Jul '25
Spann23-11
W Buchecha KO/TKO · R2 Apr '26
W Brzeski Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Cortes-Acosta KO/TKO · R2 Mar '25
W Preux Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Guskov KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24